Palermo vs Sampdoria Prediction - September 7, 2026

Serie BItalyFull time
Palermo
3:1
Sampdoria
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.64price falling, opened at 1.86
Draw3.80price rising, opened at 3.38
Away5.13price rising, opened at 4.28

Market move since Sep 4. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21price falling, opened at 1.27
Under 1.53.62price rising, opened at 3.18
Over 2.51.77price falling, opened at 1.95
Under 2.52.01price rising, opened at 1.82
Over 3.52.72price falling, opened at 3.18
Under 3.51.36price rising, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.75price falling, opened at 1.80
No1.97price rising, opened at 1.91
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.89
Even1.81price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home -0.751.74price falling, opened at 2.03
Away +0.751.93price rising, opened at 1.67

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Palermo vs Sampdoria?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Palermo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Palermo go into Palermo vs Sampdoria on 7 September on four days' rest, and Superior backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with 52 percent confidence, a number close enough to even that the case has to be made carefully. Two of the three meetings between these sides on record finished as tight, low scoring games.

Two of the last three meetings between these sides finished with two goals or fewer

The corresponding fixture last season finished 1-0, and the one before that 1-1, both comfortably under this line, even though the most recent meeting was a wild 3-3. Palermo's extra rest, four days against a Sampdoria side playing on a normal turnaround, is a small edge that fits a case built more on history than on either side's current scoring form.

Palermo have conceded five goals in their most recent match

Palermo's most recent match finished 2-5, seven goals in one game, and that alone shows this attack and defence are capable of a total well past this line. Sampdoria's own scoring has been modest too, yet a 52 percent read means Superior sees this as close to an even split between the pick landing and the total getting away, and a repeat of that kind of match, from either side, beats it.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-010.7%Projected
  2. 1-110.3%Alternative
  3. 2-010.3%
  4. 2-19.9%
  5. 3-06.6%

Top five combined: 47.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePalermoxG1.92
AwaySampdoriaxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.6%
11%
10%
6.6%
3.2%
1.2%
0.5%
1
5.4%
10%
9.9%
6.4%
3.1%
1.2%
0.5%
2
2.6%
5.0%
4.8%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
3
0.8%
1.6%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 52.8%47.2% No
Over 1.5 78.3%21.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.1%44.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.7%67.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Palermo win and over 2.5 goals38.7%
Palermo win and both teams score27.2%
Sampdoria win and over 2.5 goals10.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Palermo or draw81.5%
Sampdoria or draw40.3%
Either team wins78.2%
Draw no bet: Palermo76.4%
Draw no bet: Sampdoria23.6%
Palermo win to nil32.5%
Sampdoria win to nil9.1%
Team goals
Palermo to score85.3%
Sampdoria to score61.9%
Palermo over 1.5 goals57.2%
Sampdoria over 1.5 goals25.1%
Palermo clean sheet38.1%
Sampdoria clean sheet14.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Palermo vs Sampdoria
Head to Head

Head to Head

Palermo vs Sampdoria: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 10, 2026Sampdoria3 - 3Palermo
December 12, 2025Palermo1 - 0Sampdoria
League Table

League Table

Serie BItaly · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330073+49
2321063+37
3321041+37
4321042+27
5320152+36
6320152+36
7320152+36
832013306
9312043+15
10311173+44
11311134-14
12311157-24
13310235-23
14310249-53
15301235-21
16301224-21
17301224-21
18301236-31
19310225-31
20300337-40
Relegation
Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Palermo33007349
2Mantova32106337
3Sudtirol32104137
4Ascoli32104227
5Modena32015236
6Pisa32015236
7Avellino32015236
8Empoli32013306
9Cesena31204315
10Verona31117344
11Padova311134-14
12Vicenza Virtus311157-24
13Cremonese310235-23
14Arezzo310249-53
15Virtus Entella301235-21
16Carrarese301224-21
17Benevento301224-21
18Sampdoria301236-31
19Juve Stabia310225-31
20Catanzaro300337-40