Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna Prediction - September 7, 2026

Liga MXMexicoFull time
Cruz Azul
1:0
Santos Laguna
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:2-1

Match Winner: Home1.43Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.36price falling, opened at 1.38
Draw5.00price rising, opened at 4.85
Away7.22price rising, opened at 7.02

Market move since Sep 4. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.08
Under 1.55.65price rising, opened at 5.50
Over 2.51.37price falling, opened at 1.38
Under 2.52.66price rising, opened at 2.63
Over 3.52.04price falling, opened at 2.05
Under 3.51.74price rising, opened at 1.73
Both teams to score
Yes1.61price rising, opened at 1.59
No2.18price falling, opened at 2.21
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.87
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -1.51.93
Away +1.51.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Cruz Azul are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

A 1.4 to 1.0 gap in goals a game, home scoring rate against away, is the base case behind Superior's Liga MX pick in Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna on 7 September: the home win at 1.43, rated 54 percent. Cruz Azul have also won both of their meetings with this opponent since last year, the more recent one 2-1.

Cruz Azul are averaging 1.4 goals a game to Santos Laguna's 1.0 on the road

The scoring gap favors the home side even before recent form is added in. Cruz Azul won their last match 3-1, and they have beaten Santos Laguna in both meetings since last year, most recently 2-1. Santos Laguna have won only once away from home in their last five, a run that includes three defeats, and a 54 percent read reflects a real edge rather than a coin flip, even if it is not overwhelming.

Cruz Azul have lost three of their last five matches themselves

Cruz Azul's own recent form complicates the pick: three losses in their last five games, including back to back defeats by two goals. Santos Laguna's own last match was a 0-0 draw away at a stronger side, a sign their defence can hold up under pressure. A draw or a Santos Laguna win both beat this line, and with the home side losing more often than winning lately, that risk is real rather than a footnote.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-010.8%Projected
  2. 2-19.8%Alternative
  3. 1-09.6%
  4. 1-18.7%
  5. 3-08.0%

Top five combined: 46.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCruz AzulxG2.24
AwaySantos LagunaxG0.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.3%
9.6%
11%
8.0%
4.5%
2.0%
1.1%
1
3.9%
8.7%
9.8%
7.3%
4.1%
1.8%
1.0%
2
1.8%
4.0%
4.4%
3.3%
1.9%
0.8%
0.4%
3
0.5%
1.2%
1.3%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.3%46.7% No
Over 1.5 82.2%17.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.9%39.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 38.6%61.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Cruz Azul win and over 2.5 goals47.1%
Cruz Azul win and both teams score31.5%
Santos Laguna win and over 2.5 goals8.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Cruz Azul or draw86.1%
Santos Laguna or draw32.5%
Either team wins81.4%
Draw no bet: Cruz Azul82.9%
Draw no bet: Santos Laguna17.1%
Cruz Azul win to nil36.0%
Santos Laguna win to nil6.4%
Team goals
Cruz Azul to score89.3%
Santos Laguna to score59.7%
Cruz Azul over 1.5 goals65.5%
Santos Laguna over 1.5 goals23.1%
Cruz Azul clean sheet40.3%
Santos Laguna clean sheet10.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 1.95

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Team news

Expected formations

Santos Laguna: 4-3-1-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna
Head to Head

Head to Head

Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 4, 2026Santos Laguna1 - 2Cruz Azul
August 17, 2025Cruz Azul3 - 2Santos Laguna
League Table

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510122+1016
27421126+614
36411124+813
46411107+313
57412109+113
674031211+112
77322119+211
8631297+210
9631299010
10731399010
1163031310+39
127223108+28
137223912-38
14714279-27
157133911-26
167133813-56
177016412-81
187007321-180
Liga MX - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Club America65101221016WDW
2Guadalajara Chivas7421126614DWL
3Toluca6411124813WLW
4Club Tijuana6411107313DWW
5Atlas7412109113LWW
6Cruz Azul74031211112LWW
7U.N.A.M. - Pumas7322119211WWL
8Club Queretaro631297210WWL
9Puebla631299010DLW
10Leon731399010WLL
11Monterrey6303131039WLW
12CF Pachuca722310828LLW
13Necaxa7223912-38LWW
14Atlante FC714279-27WDL
15Tigres UANL7133911-26LDL
16Atletico San Luis7133813-56DDL
17Santos Laguna7016412-81LLL
18FC Juarez7007321-180LLL