Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction - September 7, 2026

Division Profesional - ClausuraParaguayFull time
Cerro Porteno
1:0
Nacional Asuncion
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 2.51.54Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.31price falling, opened at 2.48
Draw2.91price falling, opened at 2.94
Away3.42price rising, opened at 3.06

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.44price rising, opened at 1.43
Under 1.52.52price falling, opened at 2.55
Over 2.52.47price rising, opened at 2.42
Under 2.51.51price falling, opened at 1.53
Over 3.54.85price rising, opened at 4.53
Under 3.51.14
Both teams to score
Yes2.01price rising, opened at 1.97
No1.70price falling, opened at 1.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.92price rising, opened at 1.91
Even1.75price falling, opened at 1.76
Handicap
Home -0.251.91price falling, opened at 2.06
Away +0.251.83price rising, opened at 1.72

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Nacional Asuncion are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Cerro Porteno host Nacional Asuncion in Paraguay's Division Profesional Clausura on 7 September, and Superior backs Under 2.5 goals at 1.54 with 74 percent confidence. The last four meetings between these two have produced five goals between them combined, two of them goalless draws, a pattern that has held even as both attacks have picked up speed lately.

Two of the last four meetings between these sides finished goalless

History between Cerro Porteno and Nacional Asuncion runs low: two 0-0 draws and a 0-2 in four meetings, with only one game topping two goals. That pattern lines up with a Cerro Porteno side that has managed just 1.2 goals a game themselves, even on four days' rest heading into this one, and it gives Under 2.5 a real foundation beyond a single average.

Nacional Asuncion arrive on a run of four straight wins

Nacional Asuncion are the reason this is not a lock. Four straight wins and ten goals scored in their last five matches is a hot streak that has nothing to do with this fixture's history, and if that form travels, three goals is all it takes to beat this line. Cerro Porteno's defence has not been tested by an attack this sharp in the meetings the head to head sample covers.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.6%Projected
  2. 1-09.9%Alternative
  3. 0-19.4%
  4. 2-18.4%
  5. 1-27.9%

Top five combined: 48.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCerro PortenoxG1.33
AwayNacional AsuncionxG1.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.5%
9.9%
6.6%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
1
9.4%
13%
8.4%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.0%
7.9%
5.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
2.5%
3.3%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 52.8%47.2% No
Over 1.5 73.2%26.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.0%52.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.3%73.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Cerro Porteno win and over 2.5 goals21.8%
Cerro Porteno win and both teams score17.6%
Nacional Asuncion win and over 2.5 goals19.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Cerro Porteno or draw64.8%
Nacional Asuncion or draw61.6%
Either team wins73.6%
Draw no bet: Cerro Porteno52.1%
Draw no bet: Nacional Asuncion47.9%
Cerro Porteno win to nil20.8%
Nacional Asuncion win to nil18.9%
Team goals
Cerro Porteno to score73.6%
Nacional Asuncion to score71.7%
Cerro Porteno over 1.5 goals38.4%
Nacional Asuncion over 1.5 goals36.0%
Cerro Porteno clean sheet28.3%
Nacional Asuncion clean sheet26.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

3 selections at 1.95

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Cerro Porteno: 4-1-4-1(confirmed lineup)Nacional Asuncion: 4-1-4-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion
Head to Head

Head to Head

Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026Nacional Asuncion0 - 0Cerro Porteno
February 15, 2026Cerro Porteno0 - 2Nacional Asuncion
October 27, 2025Nacional Asuncion1 - 2Cerro Porteno
August 8, 2025Cerro Porteno0 - 0Nacional Asuncion
League Table

League Table

Division Profesional - ClausuraParaguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330092+79
2321042+27
3320163+36
4320143+16
5311154+14
6311157-24
7310253+23
8310254+13
930303303
10310238-53
11301215-41
12301217-61
Division Profesional - Clausura - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Sportivo Trinidense33009279WWW
22 de Mayo32104227DWW
3Libertad Asuncion32016336LWW
4Club Guarani32014316WWL
5Nacional Asuncion31115414WD
6Deportivo Recoleta311157-24LD
7Olimpia31025323WLL
8Cerro Porteno31025413WLL
9Sportivo Ameliano30303303DDD
10Sportivo Luqueno310238-53LLW
11Club Sp. San Lorenzo301215-41LLD
12Rubio NU301217-61LDL