Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction - September 6, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Vitória de Sernache
1:3
CF Os Belenenses
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.34Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home5.50price rising, opened at 5.25
Draw3.70price falling, opened at 3.80
Away1.61price rising, opened at 1.57

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.38price rising, opened at 1.25
Under 1.52.92price falling, opened at 3.53
Over 2.52.05price rising, opened at 1.84
Under 2.51.72price falling, opened at 1.86
Over 3.53.99price rising, opened at 3.01
Under 3.51.22price falling, opened at 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes2.04price rising, opened at 1.82
No1.65price falling, opened at 1.78
First to score
Home3.20price rising, opened at 3.00
No goal9.00price falling, opened at 10.50
Away1.43price rising, opened at 1.39
Handicap
Home +0.752.03
Away -0.751.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CF Os Belenenses are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-113.8%Projected
  2. 1-113.5%Alternative
  3. 0-012.4%
  4. 1-012.1%
  5. 0-27.6%

Top five combined: 59.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVitória de SernachexG0.98
AwayCF Os BelenensesxG1.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
12%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
14%
13%
6.6%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
2
7.6%
7.5%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
2.8%
2.8%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 41.8%58.2% No
Over 1.5 61.7%38.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 34.7%65.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 15.9%84.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Vitória de Sernache win and over 2.5 goals13.6%
Vitória de Sernache win and both teams score11.1%
CF Os Belenenses win and over 2.5 goals17.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Vitória de Sernache or draw61.6%
CF Os Belenenses or draw68.4%
Either team wins70.0%
Draw no bet: Vitória de Sernache45.2%
Draw no bet: CF Os Belenenses54.8%
Vitória de Sernache win to nil20.6%
CF Os Belenenses win to nil25.2%
Team goals
Vitória de Sernache to score62.4%
CF Os Belenenses to score67.0%
Vitória de Sernache over 1.5 goals25.6%
CF Os Belenenses over 1.5 goals30.5%
Vitória de Sernache clean sheet33.0%
CF Os Belenenses clean sheet37.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81