Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction - September 6, 2026

Division Profesional - ClausuraParaguayFull time
Sportivo Luqueno
1:2
Sportivo Ameliano
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.27price rising, opened at 2.63
Draw3.28price rising, opened at 3.24
Away2.18price falling, opened at 2.62

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price falling, opened at 1.31
Under 1.53.17price rising, opened at 3.00
Over 2.51.97price falling, opened at 2.08
Under 2.51.78price rising, opened at 1.70
Over 3.53.38price falling, opened at 3.71
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price falling, opened at 1.79
No1.96price rising, opened at 1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.79price falling, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +0.251.88
Away -0.251.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sportivo Ameliano are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Sportivo Ameliano's defence rates above Sportivo Luqueno's attack, and their head to head record backs that edge up, which is why Superior prices Under 3.5 goals at 1.26 for the Paraguayan Clausura meeting between the two on 6 September, a 78 percent model probability.

Ameliano's defence rates above Luqueno's attack

Ameliano's defence carries a 6.2 rating against a Luqueno attack rated 5.9, a small but real edge that lines up with the head to head: Ameliano have won three of the last five meetings by a single goal, including two 0-1 away wins in the last year. Luqueno's own attack has managed one goal or fewer in four of their last five matches, home or away.

Luqueno's 2-0 in March shows the ceiling

LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. Luqueno beat Ameliano 2-0 as recently as March, so a fast home start is not unprecedented, and Ameliano have shown they can score three at home themselves this run. If Luqueno's attack finds an early goal and Ameliano chase the game, this stays open longer than the recent single-goal history suggests.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.2%Projected
  2. 0-111.3%Alternative
  3. 1-011.2%
  4. 0-09.6%
  5. 1-27.8%

Top five combined: 53.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSportivo LuquenoxG1.17
AwaySportivo AmelianoxG1.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.6%
11%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
11%
13%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
2
6.6%
7.8%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
2.6%
3.0%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.7%52.3% No
Over 1.5 68.0%32.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 41.7%58.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 21.0%79.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sportivo Luqueno win and over 2.5 goals18.0%
Sportivo Luqueno win and both teams score14.5%
Sportivo Ameliano win and over 2.5 goals18.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sportivo Luqueno or draw63.8%
Sportivo Ameliano or draw64.2%
Either team wins72.0%
Draw no bet: Sportivo Luqueno49.7%
Draw no bet: Sportivo Ameliano50.3%
Sportivo Luqueno win to nil21.2%
Sportivo Ameliano win to nil21.5%
Team goals
Sportivo Luqueno to score68.9%
Sportivo Ameliano to score69.2%
Sportivo Luqueno over 1.5 goals32.6%
Sportivo Ameliano over 1.5 goals33.0%
Sportivo Luqueno clean sheet30.8%
Sportivo Ameliano clean sheet31.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

3 selections at 1.95

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Team news

Expected formations

Sportivo Luqueno: 4-1-4-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
Head to Head

Head to Head

Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 6, 2026Sportivo Luqueno0 - 1Sportivo Ameliano
November 2, 2025Sportivo Luqueno0 - 1Sportivo Ameliano
August 16, 2025Sportivo Ameliano0 - 1Sportivo Luqueno
June 2, 2025Sportivo Luqueno0 - 0Sportivo Ameliano
League Table

League Table

Division Profesional - ClausuraParaguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330092+79
2321042+27
3320163+36
4320143+16
5311154+14
6311157-24
7310253+23
8310254+13
930303303
10310238-53
11301215-41
12301217-61
Division Profesional - Clausura - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Sportivo Trinidense33009279WWW
22 de Mayo32104227DWW
3Libertad Asuncion32016336LWW
4Club Guarani32014316WWL
5Nacional Asuncion31115414WD
6Deportivo Recoleta311157-24LD
7Olimpia31025323WLL
8Cerro Porteno31025413WLL
9Sportivo Ameliano30303303DDD
10Sportivo Luqueno310238-53LLW
11Club Sp. San Lorenzo301215-41LLD
12Rubio NU301217-61LDL