Oviedo vs Burgos Prediction - September 6, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 3.51.21Won
What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Burgos?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Oviedo and Burgos are both averaging exactly 1.2 goals scored a game this season, a shared scoring rate that underlines Superior's Under 3.5 goals price of 1.21 for their Segunda Division meeting on 6 September, put at a 75 percent model probability.
Oviedo's 4-0 win is the exception, not the rule
Oviedo's last five split evenly between a big 4-0 home win and four games that produced two goals or fewer in total, including a scoreless draw. Burgos have been similarly capped, with a 3-2 win as their outlier and three matches either side finishing with a single goal or a blank. Oviedo's attack rates 6.5, the strongest single number in this matchup, but it is facing a Burgos defence that has conceded only five goals across its last five games.
Burgos have already shipped three in one match this run
LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. Burgos lost 0-3 two matches back, showing their defence can have an off day, and Oviedo's own 4-0 win proves the attack has a higher gear available. If both of those versions of these two sides turn up on the same afternoon, the total clears this line comfortably.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
Unlocked after full timePost match archive
Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-112.5%Projected
- 1-012.1%Alternative
- 2-19.0%
- 2-08.8%
- 0-18.7%
Top five combined: 51.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 1.73
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League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +4 | 10 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +3 | 9 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +2 | 8 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +2 | 8 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +4 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 4 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 9 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 12 | 4 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 16 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 18 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 20 | 4 | -4 | 2 | ||
| 21 | 4 | -5 | 0 | ||
| 22 | 4 | -11 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| 2 | Eibar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| 3 | Sabadell | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 4 | Leganes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| 5 | Girona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | |
| 6 | Celta de Vigo II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 7 | Mallorca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 8 | Tenerife | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 9 | Granada CF | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | |
| 10 | Las Palmas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | Sporting Gijon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 12 | Almeria | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 13 | Real Sociedad II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | Burgos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 15 | Oviedo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 16 | Valladolid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | Andorra | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | |
| 18 | Cadiz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | |
| 19 | Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | |
| 20 | Eldense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 | |
| 21 | Albacete | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 |