Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca Prediction - September 6, 2026

1. DivisionCyprusFull time
Nea Salamis
1:4
AEK Larnaca
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home5.34price rising, opened at 4.86
Draw3.78
Away1.61price falling, opened at 1.66

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price rising, opened at 1.22
Under 1.53.28price falling, opened at 3.48
Over 2.51.88price rising, opened at 1.84
Under 2.51.87price falling, opened at 1.92
Over 3.53.08price rising, opened at 2.97
Under 3.51.28price falling, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price rising, opened at 1.80
No1.83price falling, opened at 1.91
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +0.751.97price rising, opened at 1.86
Away -0.751.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Nea Salamis and AEK Larnaca average 3.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.3%Projected
  2. 1-29.3%Alternative
  3. 0-19.0%
  4. 0-27.4%
  5. 2-17.1%

Top five combined: 44.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNea SalamisxG1.26
AwayAEK LarnacaxG1.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5%
6.9%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.0%
11%
7.1%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.4%
9.3%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
3
4.1%
5.1%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.9%42.1% No
Over 1.5 78.7%21.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.6%44.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.2%66.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Nea Salamis win and over 2.5 goals18.1%
Nea Salamis win and both teams score15.5%
AEK Larnaca win and over 2.5 goals30.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Nea Salamis or draw53.5%
AEK Larnaca or draw70.7%
Either team wins75.8%
Draw no bet: Nea Salamis38.6%
Draw no bet: AEK Larnaca61.4%
Nea Salamis win to nil13.8%
AEK Larnaca win to nil22.9%
Team goals
Nea Salamis to score71.6%
AEK Larnaca to score80.8%
Nea Salamis over 1.5 goals35.9%
AEK Larnaca over 1.5 goals49.1%
Nea Salamis clean sheet19.2%
AEK Larnaca clean sheet28.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.83

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca
League Table

League Table

1. DivisionCyprus · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1220072+56
2320147-36
3211052+34
4211041+34
5211030+34
6211053+24
7211021+14
8210173+43
900000000
10201136-31
11201125-31
12301259-41
13200215-40
1300000000
14200215-40
Relegation
1. Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1AEK Larnaca22007256
2AEL320147-36
3Omonia 29is Maiou21105234
4Omonia Nicosia21104134
5Pafos21103034
6Apollon Limassol21105324
7Omonia Aradippou21102114
8Apoel Nicosia21017343
9Olympiakos00000000
10Aris201136-31
11Karmiotissa201125-31
12Nea Salamis301259-41
13Anorthosis200215-40
13Krasava Ypsonas00000000
14Digenis Ypsonas200215-40