Modena vs Avellino Prediction - September 6, 2026

Serie BItalyFull time
Modena
0:1
Avellino
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.37Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.63price falling, opened at 1.78
Draw3.72price rising, opened at 3.58
Away5.90price rising, opened at 4.42

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.32price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.36price rising, opened at 3.13
Over 2.52.02price rising, opened at 2.00
Under 2.51.79price rising, opened at 1.78
Over 3.53.68price rising, opened at 3.38
Under 3.51.28price rising, opened at 1.24
Both teams to score
Yes1.98price rising, opened at 1.86
No1.82price falling, opened at 1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.76price falling, opened at 1.93
Away +0.752.06price rising, opened at 1.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Modena vs Avellino?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Modena are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Modena and Avellino average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.0%Projected
  2. 2-110.0%Alternative
  3. 1-09.8%
  4. 2-09.7%
  5. 3-16.6%

Top five combined: 46.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeModenaxG1.98
AwayAvellinoxG1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.9%
9.8%
9.7%
6.4%
3.2%
1.3%
0.6%
1
5.1%
10%
10.0%
6.6%
3.3%
1.3%
0.6%
2
2.6%
5.2%
5.1%
3.4%
1.7%
0.7%
0.3%
3
0.9%
1.8%
1.8%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.4%44.6% No
Over 1.5 80.2%19.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.9%42.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.5%64.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Modena win and over 2.5 goals40.1%
Modena win and both teams score28.7%
Avellino win and over 2.5 goals11.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Modena or draw80.9%
Avellino or draw40.5%
Either team wins78.6%
Draw no bet: Modena75.7%
Draw no bet: Avellino24.3%
Modena win to nil30.9%
Avellino win to nil8.9%
Team goals
Modena to score86.2%
Avellino to score64.2%
Modena over 1.5 goals58.9%
Avellino over 1.5 goals27.4%
Modena clean sheet35.8%
Avellino clean sheet13.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Modena vs Avellino
Head to Head

Head to Head

Modena vs Avellino: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 8, 2026Avellino1 - 0Modena
August 31, 2025Modena1 - 1Avellino
League Table

League Table

Serie BItaly · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330073+49
2321063+37
3321041+37
4321042+27
5320152+36
6320152+36
7320152+36
832013306
9312043+15
10311173+44
11311134-14
12311157-24
13310235-23
14310249-53
15301235-21
16301224-21
17301224-21
18301236-31
19310225-31
20300337-40
Relegation
Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Palermo33007349
2Mantova32106337
3Sudtirol32104137
4Ascoli32104227
5Modena32015236
6Pisa32015236
7Avellino32015236
8Empoli32013306
9Cesena31204315
10Verona31117344
11Padova311134-14
12Vicenza Virtus311157-24
13Cremonese310235-23
14Arezzo310249-53
15Virtus Entella301235-21
16Carrarese301224-21
17Benevento301224-21
18Sampdoria301236-31
19Juve Stabia310225-31
20Catanzaro300337-40