Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction - September 6, 2026

Ligue 1FranceFull time
Marseille
2:3
Paris FC
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.25Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.86price rising, opened at 1.75
Draw3.76price falling, opened at 3.96
Away4.00price falling, opened at 4.34

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price rising, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.76price rising, opened at 4.45
Over 2.51.55price falling, opened at 1.64
Under 2.52.43price rising, opened at 2.26
Over 3.52.46price falling, opened at 2.51
Under 3.51.54price rising, opened at 1.45
Both teams to score
Yes1.57price falling, opened at 1.59
No2.41price rising, opened at 2.24
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.752.04price rising, opened at 1.92
Away +0.751.77price falling, opened at 1.81

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Marseille vs Paris FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Paris FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Marseille average 2.0 goals per match against 1.6 for Paris FC.
  • Marseille won 2 of their last 5 matches; Paris FC won 2 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.0%Projected
  2. 2-012.0%
  3. 1-111.1%Alternative
  4. 2-19.5%
  5. 0-08.2%

Top five combined: 54.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMarseillexG1.72
AwayParis FCxG0.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.2%
14%
12%
6.9%
3.0%
1.0%
0.4%
1
6.4%
11%
9.5%
5.4%
2.3%
0.8%
0.3%
2
2.5%
4.4%
3.7%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
0.7%
1.1%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 44.7%55.3% No
Over 1.5 71.4%28.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 45.7%54.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.3%75.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Marseille win and over 2.5 goals33.4%
Marseille win and both teams score22.2%
Paris FC win and over 2.5 goals7.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Marseille or draw83.1%
Paris FC or draw40.5%
Either team wins76.4%
Draw no bet: Marseille77.9%
Draw no bet: Paris FC22.1%
Marseille win to nil37.3%
Paris FC win to nil9.8%
Team goals
Marseille to score82.0%
Paris FC to score54.5%
Marseille over 1.5 goals51.2%
Paris FC over 1.5 goals18.7%
Marseille clean sheet45.5%
Paris FC clean sheet18.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Marseille vs Paris FC
Head to Head

Head to Head

Marseille vs Paris FC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
January 31, 2026Paris FC2 - 2Marseille
August 23, 2025Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
League Table

League Table

Ligue 1France · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330051+49
2321062+47
3321062+47
4321052+37
5321075+27
6320187+16
7312065+15
831112204
9311147-34
10310265+13
11310265+13
12310245-13
13302156-12
14302156-12
15302114-32
16301224-21
17301225-31
183003411-70
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Ligue 1 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Monaco33005149
2Paris FC32106247
3Lyon32106247
4Lille32105237
5Rennes32107527
6Strasbourg32018716
7Stade Brestois 2931206515
8Lorient31112204
9Estac Troyes311147-34
10Marseille31026513
11Lens31026513
12Angers310245-13
13Paris Saint Germain302156-12
14Le Mans302156-12
15Nice302114-32
16Le Havre301224-21
17Toulouse301225-31
18Auxerre3003411-70