Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.68

Draw2.91

Away2.76

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.42

Under 1.52.49

Over 2.52.45

Under 2.51.52

Over 3.54.60

Under 3.51.13

Both teams to score

Yes1.99

No1.73

Odd/Even

Odd1.92

Even1.79

Handicap

Home +01.84

Away +01.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Cherno More Varna are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 3, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-014.1%Projected
1-113.4%Alternative
0-012.6%
0-112.1%
2-07.8%

Top five combined: 60.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLokomotiv PlovdivxG1.11

AwayCherno More VarnaxG0.96

13%

14%

7.8%

2.9%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

12%

13%

7.5%

2.8%

0.8%

0.2%

0.0%

5.8%

6.4%

3.6%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

1.8%

2.0%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.4%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 41.3%58.7% No

Over 1.5 61.2%38.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 34.2%65.8% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 15.5%84.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lokomotiv Plovdiv win and over 2.5 goals17.1%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv win and both teams score13.2%

Cherno More Varna win and over 2.5 goals13.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals26.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw69.1%

Cherno More Varna or draw61.0%

Either team wins69.9%

Draw no bet: Lokomotiv Plovdiv55.8%

Draw no bet: Cherno More Varna44.2%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv win to nil25.8%

Cherno More Varna win to nil20.2%

Team goals

Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score67.1%

Cherno More Varna to score61.6%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv over 1.5 goals30.6%

Cherno More Varna over 1.5 goals24.8%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv clean sheet38.4%

Cherno More Varna clean sheet32.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna

Head to Head

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 12, 2026	Cherno More Varna	2 - 0	Lokomotiv Plovdiv
April 26, 2026	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0 - 1	Cherno More Varna
February 15, 2026	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1 - 1	Cherno More Varna
August 23, 2025	Cherno More Varna	1 - 1	Lokomotiv Plovdiv

League Table

First LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	8	6	2	0	21	6	+15	20
2	Ludogorets Razgrad	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9
3	Ludogorets	8	6	2	0	14	6	+8	20
4	CSKA 1948	9	6	1	2	17	9	+8	19
5	Arda Kardzhali	9	5	1	3	14	11	+3	16
6	Botev Plovdiv	9	4	1	4	13	14	-1	13
7	Slavia Sofia	9	2	5	2	8	6	+2	11
8	Spartak Varna	9	2	4	3	10	14	-4	10
9	Botev Vratsa	9	2	2	5	7	17	-10	8
10	Septemvri Sofia	8	2	2	4	7	13	-6	8
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	9	2	0	7	4	12	-8	6
12	Cherno More Varna	9	1	2	6	10	19	-9	5
13	Lokomotiv Sofia	8	0	4	4	10	16	-6	4
14	Dunav Ruse	9	1	1	7	8	17	-9	4

Relegation

First League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	17	25	WWW
2	CSKA Sofia	8	6	2	0	21	6	15	20	WWD
2	Ludogorets Razgrad	3	3	0	0	5	1	4	9
3	Ludogorets	8	6	2	0	14	6	8	20	WWW
4	CSKA 1948	9	6	1	2	17	9	8	19	WWD
5	Arda Kardzhali	9	5	1	3	14	11	3	16	LWD
6	Botev Plovdiv	9	4	1	4	13	14	-1	13	WLD
7	Slavia Sofia	9	2	5	2	8	6	2	11	DLD
8	Spartak Varna	9	2	4	3	10	14	-4	10	WWD
9	Botev Vratsa	9	2	2	5	7	17	-10	8	LLD
10	Septemvri Sofia	8	2	2	4	7	13	-6	8	LLD
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	9	2	0	7	4	12	-8	6	LWL
12	Cherno More Varna	9	1	2	6	10	19	-9	5	LLD
13	Lokomotiv Sofia	8	0	4	4	10	16	-6	4	DLD
14	Dunav Ruse	9	1	1	7	8	17	-9	4	LLL

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction - September 6, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table