Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction - September 6, 2026

EkstraklasaPolandFull time
Lech Poznan
1:0
Raków Częstochowa
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.53price falling, opened at 1.71
Draw4.45price rising, opened at 3.88
Away5.12price rising, opened at 4.33

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.10price falling, opened at 1.14
Under 1.55.00price rising, opened at 4.40
Over 2.51.44price falling, opened at 1.60
Under 2.52.43price rising, opened at 2.27
Over 3.52.24price falling, opened at 2.38
Under 3.51.61price rising, opened at 1.46
Both teams to score
Yes1.56price falling, opened at 1.58
No2.28price rising, opened at 2.23
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.87
Even1.85price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -11.83
Away +11.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lech Poznan are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Lech Poznan won 3 of their last 5 matches; Raków Częstochowa won 1 of 5.
  • Lech Poznan average 1.8 goals per match against 1.4 for Raków Częstochowa.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.2%Projected
  2. 3-17.5%
  3. 1-17.5%Alternative
  4. 2-07.2%
  5. 2-25.9%

Top five combined: 37.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLech PoznanxG2.45
AwayRaków CzęstochowaxG1.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.4%
5.8%
7.2%
5.9%
3.6%
1.8%
1.1%
1
3.1%
7.5%
9.2%
7.5%
4.6%
2.3%
1.4%
2
2.0%
4.8%
5.9%
4.8%
3.0%
1.5%
0.9%
3
0.8%
2.1%
2.5%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 66.1%33.9% No
Over 1.5 88.7%11.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 72.1%27.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 51.3%48.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lech Poznan win and over 2.5 goals50.0%
Lech Poznan win and both teams score37.7%
Raków Częstochowa win and over 2.5 goals13.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lech Poznan or draw81.4%
Raków Częstochowa or draw37.0%
Either team wins81.7%
Draw no bet: Lech Poznan77.2%
Draw no bet: Raków Częstochowa22.8%
Lech Poznan win to nil25.3%
Raków Częstochowa win to nil6.2%
Team goals
Lech Poznan to score91.4%
Raków Częstochowa to score72.3%
Lech Poznan over 1.5 goals70.3%
Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals36.8%
Lech Poznan clean sheet27.7%
Raków Częstochowa clean sheet8.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 1.95

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Team news

Expected formations

Lech Poznan: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 1, 2026Lech Poznan4 - 3Raków Częstochowa
September 24, 2025Raków Częstochowa2 - 2Lech Poznan
League Table

League Table

EkstraklasaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510114+716
27430156+915
36501127+515
484221511+414
574031110+112
673131313010
76303129+39
8623185+39
9623175+29
10623165+19
11722368-28
127223613-78
137142101007
147133911-26
158125915-65
166123411-75
176114913-44
187106815-73
Relegation
Ekstraklasa - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lech Poznan6510114716WD
2Legia Warszawa7430156915WW
3Gornik Zabrze6501127515W
4Wisla Krakow84221511414LW
5Jagiellonia74031110112WW
6Piast Gliwice73131313010WL
7GKS Katowice630312939WL
8Pogon Szczecin62318539WL
9Korona Kielce62317529L
10Zaglebie Lubin62316519LW
11Cracovia Krakow722368-28LD
12Radomiak Radom7223613-78LW
13Widzew Łódź7142101007DD
14Slask Wroclaw7133911-26WL
15Motor Lublin8125915-65LD
16Wisla Plock6123411-75DW
17Wieczysta Kraków6114913-44LL
18Raków Częstochowa7106815-73LL