Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.58

Draw2.96

Away3.06

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.35

Under 1.52.76

Over 2.52.25

Under 2.51.65

Over 3.53.90

Under 3.51.18

Both teams to score

Yes1.85

No1.85

Odd/Even

Odd1.95

Even1.74

Handicap

Home +01.74

Away +02.08

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Kocaelispor are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 3, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Kocaelispor have failed to score in their last two home matches, a run that sits behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals price of 1.27 for their Turkish Super Lig meeting with Samsunspor on 6 September, rated a 77 percent probability despite Samsunspor's stronger attack rating.

Kocaelispor have been shut out at home twice running

Kocaelispor's last two matches at home finished 0-2 and 0-1, both without a goal of their own, and across their last five they have scored just twice in total. Samsunspor carry a stronger attack rating, 7.2 against Kocaelispor's 6.1, but their own recent form has been inconsistent, including a 0-2 defeat sandwiched between two wins.

Samsunspor drew 3-3 two matches ago

LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. Samsunspor's most recent away trip before their last one produced a 3-3 draw, proof their attack can get dragged into an open game. If Kocaelispor's defence has one of its shakier afternoons against a Samsunspor side capable of that kind of scoreline, this total gets breached quickly even with the recent 0-0 and 0-1 head to head history.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-113.0%Projected
1-011.1%Alternative
0-110.2%
0-08.8%
2-18.2%

Top five combined: 51.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKocaelisporxG1.27

AwaySamsunsporxG1.17

8.8%

11%

7.0%

3.0%

0.9%

0.2%

0.1%

10%

13%

8.2%

3.5%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

6.0%

7.6%

4.8%

2.0%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

2.3%

2.9%

1.9%

0.8%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.7%

0.9%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.5%50.5% No

Over 1.5 69.9%30.1% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 43.9%56.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 22.8%77.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Kocaelispor win and over 2.5 goals20.6%

Kocaelispor win and both teams score16.3%

Samsunspor win and over 2.5 goals17.7%

Draw and under 2.5 goals21.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Kocaelispor or draw66.1%

Samsunspor or draw61.3%

Either team wins72.6%

Draw no bet: Kocaelispor53.3%

Draw no bet: Samsunspor46.7%

Kocaelispor win to nil22.4%

Samsunspor win to nil19.4%

Team goals

Kocaelispor to score71.8%

Samsunspor to score68.9%

Kocaelispor over 1.5 goals36.1%

Samsunspor over 1.5 goals32.5%

Kocaelispor clean sheet31.1%

Samsunspor clean sheet28.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Kocaelispor: 4-3-3(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor

Head to Head

Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
January 24, 2026	Samsunspor	0 - 0	Kocaelispor
August 16, 2025	Kocaelispor	0 - 1	Samsunspor

League Table

Super LigTurkey · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	12	6	+6	10
2	Beşiktaş	4	3	0	1	9	4	+5	9
3	Kocaelispor	4	3	0	1	5	3	+2	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	2	1	1	9	4	+5	7
5	Gazişehir Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	7	5	+2	7
6	Amed	4	2	1	1	7	5	+2	7
7	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	4	3	+1	7
8	Genclerbirligi	4	2	1	1	4	7	-3	7
9	Fenerbahçe	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6
10	Kasımpaşa	4	1	3	0	5	4	+1	6
11	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	3	4	-1	6
12	İstanbul Başakşehir	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4
13	Samsunspor	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	4
14	Yeni Çorumspor	4	1	1	2	7	9	-2	4
15	Erzurum BB	4	1	1	2	2	8	-6	4
16	Eyüpspor	4	1	0	3	2	6	-4	3
17	Göztepe	4	0	1	3	7	11	-4	1
18	Konyaspor	4	0	0	4	3	8	-5	0

Super Lig - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	12	6	6	10
2	Beşiktaş	4	3	0	1	9	4	5	9
3	Kocaelispor	4	3	0	1	5	3	2	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	2	1	1	9	4	5	7
5	Gazişehir Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	7	5	2	7
6	Amed	4	2	1	1	7	5	2	7
7	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	4	3	1	7
8	Genclerbirligi	4	2	1	1	4	7	-3	7
9	Fenerbahçe	4	2	0	2	8	6	2	6
10	Kasımpaşa	4	1	3	0	5	4	1	6
11	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	3	4	-1	6
12	İstanbul Başakşehir	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4
13	Samsunspor	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	4
14	Yeni Çorumspor	4	1	1	2	7	9	-2	4
15	Erzurum BB	4	1	1	2	2	8	-6	4
16	Eyüpspor	4	1	0	3	2	6	-4	3
17	Göztepe	4	0	1	3	7	11	-4	1
18	Konyaspor	4	0	0	4	3	8	-5	0

Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Prediction - September 6, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

Match analysis

Kocaelispor have been shut out at home twice running

Samsunspor drew 3-3 two matches ago

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

More Super Lig Predictions

Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table