Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-2

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.47Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.10

Draw3.98

Away1.79

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.13

Under 1.55.95

Over 2.51.50

Under 2.52.61

Over 3.52.27

Under 3.51.63

Both teams to score

Yes1.48

No2.67

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home +0.751.82

Away -0.751.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: AZ Alkmaar are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 3, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar average 4.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-26.6%Projected
2-26.5%Alternative
1-36.1%
2-36.0%
1-14.8%

Top five combined: 30.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHeerenveenxG1.97

AwayAZ AlkmaarxG2.75

0.9%

1.8%

1.7%

1.1%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

2.4%

4.8%

3.1%

1.5%

0.6%

0.3%

3.4%

6.6%

6.5%

4.3%

2.1%

0.8%

0.4%

3.1%

6.1%

6.0%

3.9%

1.9%

0.8%

0.3%

2.1%

4.2%

4.1%

2.7%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

1.2%

2.3%

1.5%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.8%

1.7%

1.6%

1.1%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 80.6%19.4% No

Over 1.5 94.9%5.1% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 85.0%15.0% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 69.4%30.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Heerenveen win and over 2.5 goals24.0%

Heerenveen win and both teams score21.9%

AZ Alkmaar win and over 2.5 goals48.8%

Draw and under 2.5 goals5.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Heerenveen or draw45.3%

AZ Alkmaar or draw72.5%

Either team wins82.2%

Draw no bet: Heerenveen33.4%

Draw no bet: AZ Alkmaar66.6%

Heerenveen win to nil5.5%

AZ Alkmaar win to nil13.0%

Team goals

Heerenveen to score86.1%

AZ Alkmaar to score93.6%

Heerenveen over 1.5 goals58.7%

AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals76.0%

Heerenveen clean sheet6.4%

AZ Alkmaar clean sheet13.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Heerenveen: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)AZ Alkmaar: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar

Head to Head

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 12, 2026	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 0	Heerenveen
November 23, 2025	Heerenveen	3 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
May 22, 2025	AZ Alkmaar	4 - 1	Heerenveen

League Table

EredivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	5	5	0	0	16	5	+11	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	18	6	+12	13
3	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	13	7	+6	11
4	Excelsior	5	3	1	1	12	5	+7	10
5	Twente	5	3	1	1	10	5	+5	10
6	Fortuna Sittard	5	3	1	1	11	9	+2	10
7	GO Ahead Eagles	5	2	2	1	14	12	+2	8
8	Ajax	4	2	1	1	9	5	+4	7
9	NEC Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	11	9	+2	7
10	Groningen	5	2	1	2	11	12	-1	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	9	9	0	5
12	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
13	PEC Zwolle	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
14	Telstar	5	1	1	3	5	11	-6	4
15	Utrecht	5	0	2	3	9	18	-9	2
16	ADO Den Haag	5	0	1	4	6	14	-8	1
17	Willem II	4	0	1	3	4	13	-9	1
18	Cambuur	5	0	1	4	6	18	-12	1

Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Eredivisie - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	AZ Alkmaar	5	5	0	0	16	5	11	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	18	6	12	13
3	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	13	7	6	11
4	Excelsior	5	3	1	1	12	5	7	10
5	Twente	5	3	1	1	10	5	5	10
6	Fortuna Sittard	5	3	1	1	11	9	2	10
7	GO Ahead Eagles	5	2	2	1	14	12	2	8
8	Ajax	4	2	1	1	9	5	4	7
9	NEC Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	11	9	2	7
10	Groningen	5	2	1	2	11	12	-1	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	9	9	0	5
12	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
13	PEC Zwolle	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
14	Telstar	5	1	1	3	5	11	-6	4
15	Utrecht	5	0	2	3	9	18	-9	2
16	ADO Den Haag	5	0	1	4	6	14	-8	1
17	Willem II	4	0	1	3	4	13	-9	1
18	Cambuur	5	0	1	4	6	18	-12	1

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction - September 6, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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Confirmed formations

Head to Head

League Table