Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction - September 6, 2026

Primeira LigaPortugalFull time
Guimaraes
0:0
Casa Pia
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48price falling, opened at 1.56
Draw4.22price rising, opened at 3.90
Away7.20price rising, opened at 6.35

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price falling, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.24price rising, opened at 3.08
Over 2.51.98price falling, opened at 2.06
Under 2.51.82price rising, opened at 1.76
Over 3.53.30price falling, opened at 3.52
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes2.10price rising, opened at 2.05
No1.66price falling, opened at 1.69
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -11.78price falling, opened at 1.95
Away +11.97price rising, opened at 1.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Guimaraes are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Guimaraes and Casa Pia average 0.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-015.1%Projected
  2. 2-013.1%
  3. 1-110.6%Alternative
  4. 2-19.3%
  5. 0-08.7%

Top five combined: 56.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGuimaraesxG1.74
AwayCasa PiaxG0.70
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.7%
15%
13%
7.6%
3.3%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.1%
11%
9.3%
5.4%
2.3%
0.8%
0.3%
2
2.2%
3.7%
3.3%
1.9%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
3
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 41.7%58.3% No
Over 1.5 70.1%29.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 44.2%55.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 23.1%76.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Guimaraes win and over 2.5 goals34.0%
Guimaraes win and both teams score21.5%
Casa Pia win and over 2.5 goals6.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Guimaraes or draw85.3%
Casa Pia or draw37.7%
Either team wins77.0%
Draw no bet: Guimaraes80.9%
Draw no bet: Casa Pia19.1%
Guimaraes win to nil40.8%
Casa Pia win to nil8.9%
Team goals
Guimaraes to score82.5%
Casa Pia to score50.6%
Guimaraes over 1.5 goals51.9%
Casa Pia over 1.5 goals15.7%
Guimaraes clean sheet49.4%
Casa Pia clean sheet17.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Team news

Expected formations

Casa Pia: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
Head to Head

Head to Head

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 11, 2026Guimaraes0 - 1Casa Pia
December 28, 2025Casa Pia0 - 0Guimaraes
League Table

League Table

Primeira LigaPortugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15500111+1015
25410183+1513
35410145+913
4532093+611
5531173+410
6421131+27
7321053+27
8521268-27
9413098+16
10512258-35
11511335-24
12511368-24
135113412-84
14503246-23
155104211-93
16502327-52
175023510-52
185014011-111
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Primeira Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1FC Porto55001111015
2Benfica54101831513
3Sporting CP5410145913
4Santa Clara532093611
5Arouca531173410
6GIL Vicente42113127
7SC Braga32105327
8Maritimo521268-27
9Estrela41309816
10Academico Viseu512258-35
11Guimaraes511335-24
12Nacional511368-24
13Moreirense5113412-84
14Famalicao503246-23
15Rio Ave5104211-93
16Estoril502327-52
17Alverca5023510-52
18Casa Pia5014011-111