Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC Prediction - September 6, 2026

K League 1South KoreaFull time
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2:2
Gwangju FC
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.33Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.58price falling, opened at 1.59
Draw4.17price rising, opened at 3.90
Away5.47price falling, opened at 5.50

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price falling, opened at 1.26
Under 1.53.96price rising, opened at 3.24
Over 2.51.74price falling, opened at 1.90
Under 2.52.09price rising, opened at 1.87
Over 3.52.99price falling, opened at 3.08
Under 3.51.39price rising, opened at 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price falling, opened at 1.89
No1.98price rising, opened at 1.81
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.90price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -11.90price falling, opened at 1.98
Away +11.90price rising, opened at 1.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Gimcheon Sangmu FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Why this prediction

  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.7%Projected
  2. 1-18.8%Alternative
  3. 2-08.1%
  4. 1-07.3%
  5. 3-17.1%

Top five combined: 41.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGimcheon Sangmu FCxG2.21
AwayGwangju FCxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.3%
7.3%
8.1%
6.0%
3.3%
1.5%
0.8%
1
4.0%
8.8%
9.7%
7.1%
3.9%
1.7%
0.9%
2
2.4%
5.3%
5.8%
4.3%
2.4%
1.0%
0.5%
3
0.9%
2.1%
2.3%
1.7%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 62.1%37.9% No
Over 1.5 85.4%14.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 66.1%33.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 44.2%55.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win and over 2.5 goals44.8%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC win and both teams score33.4%
Gwangju FC win and over 2.5 goals13.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw80.2%
Gwangju FC or draw39.7%
Either team wins80.1%
Draw no bet: Gimcheon Sangmu FC75.3%
Draw no bet: Gwangju FC24.7%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC win to nil26.9%
Gwangju FC win to nil7.7%
Team goals
Gimcheon Sangmu FC to score89.0%
Gwangju FC to score69.8%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC over 1.5 goals64.7%
Gwangju FC over 1.5 goals33.6%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC clean sheet30.2%
Gwangju FC clean sheet11.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Prediction, preview and head to head: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC
Head to Head

Head to Head

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 22, 2026Gwangju FC1 - 1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
March 17, 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC1 - 1Gwangju FC
July 22, 2025Gwangju FC1 - 1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
May 5, 2025Gwangju FC1 - 0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
March 16, 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC0 - 0Gwangju FC
League Table

League Table

K League 1South Korea · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
11913333414+2042
2198832412+1232
3198652516+930
4198472019+128
5198472728-128
6196942622+427
7198382420+427
8196671719-224
9194872120+120
9194872120+120
10194781724-719
111921161826-817
121917111043-3310
K League 1 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1FC Seoul19133334142042
2Gangwon FC1988324121232
3Jeonbuk Motors198652516930
4Pohang Steelers198472019128
5Ulsan Hyundai FC198472728-128
6FC Anyang196942622427
7Incheon United198382420427
8Jeju United FC196671719-224
9Daejeon Citizen194872120120
9Daejeon Hana Citizen194872120120
10Bucheon FC 1995194781724-719
11Gimcheon Sangmu FC1921161826-817
12Gwangju FC1917111043-3310