Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction - September 6, 2026

Serie ABrazilFull time
Fluminense
1:0
Vasco DA Gama
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.27price rising, opened at 1.87
Draw3.10price falling, opened at 3.54
Away3.44price falling, opened at 4.20

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price rising, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.14price rising, opened at 2.99
Over 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.09
Under 2.51.66price falling, opened at 1.74
Over 3.54.12price rising, opened at 3.62
Under 3.51.23price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.89price rising, opened at 1.88
No1.92price rising, opened at 1.82
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.94
Away +0.251.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Fluminense are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Fluminense and Vasco DA Gama average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.1%Projected
  2. 1-010.1%Alternative
  3. 2-19.8%
  4. 2-08.9%
  5. 0-16.3%

Top five combined: 46.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFluminensexG1.76
AwayVasco DA GamaxG1.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.7%
10%
8.9%
5.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.3%
1
6.3%
11%
9.8%
5.7%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
2
3.4%
6.0%
5.3%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.2%
2.2%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.1%44.9% No
Over 1.5 77.8%22.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.4%45.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.1%67.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Fluminense win and over 2.5 goals34.0%
Fluminense win and both teams score25.3%
Vasco DA Gama win and over 2.5 goals13.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Fluminense or draw76.6%
Vasco DA Gama or draw46.9%
Either team wins76.6%
Draw no bet: Fluminense69.4%
Draw no bet: Vasco DA Gama30.6%
Fluminense win to nil27.8%
Vasco DA Gama win to nil11.4%
Team goals
Fluminense to score82.9%
Vasco DA Gama to score66.4%
Fluminense over 1.5 goals52.6%
Vasco DA Gama over 1.5 goals29.8%
Fluminense clean sheet33.6%
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet17.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.08

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Fluminense: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Vasco DA Gama: 4-3-3(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama
Head to Head

Head to Head

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 6, 2026Fluminense1 - 3Vasco DA Gama
August 1, 2026Vasco DA Gama0 - 0Fluminense
March 19, 2026Vasco DA Gama3 - 2Fluminense
March 1, 2026Fluminense1 - 1Vasco DA Gama
February 22, 2026Vasco DA Gama0 - 1Fluminense
League Table

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12616645121+3054
22615834521+2453
32613673828+1045
42612954032+845
526111054032+843
62612683837+142
7218672730-330
72610793435-137
82510693230+236
925105103128+335
102596103128+333
11268992726+133
12258893738-132
132587103740-331
142585122437-1329
152477102732-528
162677122940-1128
172567122740-1325
1826510112834-625
192658133043-1323
202529142650-2415
202017121941-2210
Relegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Flamengo26166451213054DDWWL
2Palmeiras26158345212453WLWWW
3Atletico Paranaense26136738281045DWWWW
4Fluminense2612954032845DDDDL
5Bahia26111054032843DDDWW
6Cruzeiro FC2612683837142
7Cruzeiro218672730-330WLWDW
7Coritiba2610793435-137LDLLW
8Atletico-MG2510693230236WDWLW
9RB Bragantino25105103128335DDWWW
10Sao Paulo2596103128333DLLDL
11Corinthians268992726133DDWWW
12Santos258893738-132DLWLL
13Botafogo2587103740-331WDWLD
14Vitoria2585122437-1329LLDWL
15Gremio2477102732-528DLLWD
16Mirassol2677122940-1128WDWLW
17Vasco DA Gama2567122740-1325DLLLL
18Internacional26510112834-625DLLLL
19Remo2658133043-1323LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc2529142650-2415
20Chapecoense B2017121941-2210