FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano Prediction - September 6, 2026

Super LeagueSwitzerlandFull time
FC Basel 1893
1:3
FC Lugano
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.19Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.97price rising, opened at 2.85
Draw3.58price falling, opened at 3.70
Away2.22price falling, opened at 2.24

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14
Under 1.54.50price rising, opened at 4.45
Over 2.51.57
Under 2.52.35
Over 3.52.27price falling, opened at 2.29
Under 3.51.51price rising, opened at 1.50
Both teams to score
Yes1.47price falling, opened at 1.48
No2.50price rising, opened at 2.47
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +0.251.81price rising, opened at 1.79
Away -0.251.85price falling, opened at 1.87

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Lugano are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • FC Basel 1893 and FC Lugano average 4.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.5%Projected
  2. 1-28.2%Alternative
  3. 2-17.5%
  4. 2-27.2%
  5. 1-35.3%

Top five combined: 36.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFC Basel 1893xG1.75
AwayFC LuganoxG1.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.5%
4.4%
3.9%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
1
4.9%
8.5%
7.5%
4.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.3%
2
4.7%
8.2%
7.2%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
3
3.0%
5.3%
4.6%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.2%
4
1.4%
2.5%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.6%
1.0%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 70.6%29.4% No
Over 1.5 88.2%11.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 71.1%28.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 50.1%49.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FC Basel 1893 win and over 2.5 goals27.4%
FC Basel 1893 win and both teams score23.7%
FC Lugano win and over 2.5 goals33.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
FC Basel 1893 or draw57.3%
FC Lugano or draw64.3%
Either team wins78.4%
Draw no bet: FC Basel 189345.6%
Draw no bet: FC Lugano54.4%
FC Basel 1893 win to nil12.1%
FC Lugano win to nil14.8%
Team goals
FC Basel 1893 to score82.7%
FC Lugano to score85.4%
FC Basel 1893 over 1.5 goals52.3%
FC Lugano over 1.5 goals57.3%
FC Basel 1893 clean sheet14.6%
FC Lugano clean sheet17.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano
Head to Head

Head to Head

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 17, 2026FC Lugano4 - 0FC Basel 1893
February 15, 2026FC Basel 18931 - 1FC Lugano
November 9, 2025FC Basel 18930 - 1FC Lugano
August 10, 2025FC Lugano3 - 1FC Basel 1893
May 10, 2025FC Lugano2 - 5FC Basel 1893
League Table

League Table

Super LeagueSwitzerland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
174302614+1215
25500143+1115
36312119+210
45302119+29
572321013-39
652121011-17
75212914-57
872141118-77
972051617-16
107133710-36
116123914-55
12511346-24
Relegation
Super League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1BSC Young Boys743026141215WW
2FC Lugano55001431115WW
3FC Basel 18936312119210LW
4FC Sion530211929WL
5FC Luzern72321013-39LL
6FC ST. Gallen52121011-17WW
7FC Thun5212914-57LW
8FC Zurich72141118-77WL
9FC Vaduz72051617-16LL
10Lausanne7133710-36WD
11Grasshoppers6123914-55LD
12Servette FC511346-24LL