Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction - September 6, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Fagiano Okayama
3:2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.53price rising, opened at 3.60
Draw3.48price falling, opened at 3.70
Away1.83price falling, opened at 1.98

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30price rising, opened at 1.19
Under 1.53.48price falling, opened at 3.82
Over 2.51.98price rising, opened at 1.78
Under 2.51.82price falling, opened at 2.04
Over 3.53.58price rising, opened at 2.80
Under 3.51.29price falling, opened at 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price rising, opened at 1.63
No1.98price falling, opened at 2.14
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +0.751.77
Away -0.752.04

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Fagiano Okayama are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Fagiano Okayama and Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.4%Projected
  2. 1-29.9%Alternative
  3. 0-19.4%
  4. 0-29.0%
  5. 1-36.3%

Top five combined: 45.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFagiano OkayamaxG1.10
AwaySanfrecce HiroshimaxG1.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0%
5.4%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.4%
10%
5.7%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
2
9.0%
9.9%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
5.7%
6.3%
3.5%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.7%
3.0%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.8%43.2% No
Over 1.5 80.2%19.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.8%42.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.4%64.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Fagiano Okayama win and over 2.5 goals13.2%
Fagiano Okayama win and both teams score11.7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win and over 2.5 goals37.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Fagiano Okayama or draw43.8%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw78.4%
Either team wins77.8%
Draw no bet: Fagiano Okayama27.8%
Draw no bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima72.2%
Fagiano Okayama win to nil9.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win to nil28.3%
Team goals
Fagiano Okayama to score66.7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score85.1%
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 goals30.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima over 1.5 goals56.8%
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet14.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet33.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Fagiano Okayama: 3-4-2-1(predicted)Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Head to Head

Head to Head

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 2, 2026Fagiano Okayama1 - 0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
July 5, 2025Fagiano Okayama0 - 1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
April 12, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima0 - 1Fagiano Okayama
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410154+1113
25401106+412
354011310+312
45320112+911
5531163+310
653025509
75221107+38
8522198+18
952128807
1052125507
11513198+16
12513189-16
13520368-26
1452031115-46
15512279-25
16511324-24
175113611-54
18510489-13
19502328-62
205005315-120
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Machida Zelvia54101541113
2Kashiwa Reysol5401106412
3Kashima54011310312
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima5320112911
5Vissel Kobe531163310
6Cerezo Osaka53025509
7Mito Hollyhock522110738
8FC Tokyo52219818
9Yokohama F. Marinos52128807
10Fagiano Okayama52125507
11Kawasaki Frontale51319816
12Gamba Osaka513189-16
13Nagoya Grampus520368-26
14Urawa52031115-46
15Kyoto Sanga512279-25
16Shimizu S-pulse511324-24
17V-varen Nagasaki5113611-54
18Avispa Fukuoka510489-13
19Tokyo Verdy502328-62
20JEF United Chiba5005315-120