Defensores de Belgrano VR vs San Martin Formosa Prediction - September 6, 2026

Torneo Federal AArgentinaFull time
Defensores de Belgrano VR
1:0
San Martin Formosa
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.36Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.51price rising, opened at 2.30
Draw2.74price falling, opened at 2.92
Away2.96price falling, opened at 3.09

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.44price rising, opened at 1.33
Under 1.52.42price falling, opened at 2.83
Over 2.52.46price rising, opened at 2.10
Under 2.51.47price falling, opened at 1.64
Over 3.54.65price rising, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.13price falling, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes2.01price rising, opened at 1.81
No1.69price falling, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.91price rising, opened at 1.90
Even1.74price falling, opened at 1.75
Handicap
Home +01.71
Away +01.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano VR vs San Martin Formosa?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: San Martin Formosa are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Defensores de Belgrano VR and San Martin Formosa average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.6%Projected
  2. 1-28.0%Alternative
  3. 2-17.7%
  4. 2-27.2%
  5. 1-35.0%

Top five combined: 36.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeDefensores de Belgrano VRxG1.81
AwaySan Martin FormosaxG1.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.5%
4.6%
4.1%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
0.2%
1
4.7%
8.6%
7.7%
4.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.3%
2
4.4%
8.0%
7.2%
4.3%
2.0%
0.7%
0.3%
3
2.7%
5.0%
4.5%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.2%
4
1.3%
2.3%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 70.7%29.3% No
Over 1.5 88.1%11.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 71.0%29.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 50.0%50.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Defensores de Belgrano VR win and over 2.5 goals29.2%
Defensores de Belgrano VR win and both teams score25.0%
San Martin Formosa win and over 2.5 goals31.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Defensores de Belgrano VR or draw59.7%
San Martin Formosa or draw62.0%
Either team wins78.3%
Draw no bet: Defensores de Belgrano VR48.5%
Draw no bet: San Martin Formosa51.5%
Defensores de Belgrano VR win to nil12.9%
San Martin Formosa win to nil13.9%
Team goals
Defensores de Belgrano VR to score83.6%
San Martin Formosa to score84.5%
Defensores de Belgrano VR over 1.5 goals53.9%
San Martin Formosa over 1.5 goals55.7%
Defensores de Belgrano VR clean sheet15.5%
San Martin Formosa clean sheet16.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Defensores de Belgrano VR vs San Martin Formosa
League Table

League Table

Torneo Federal AArgentina · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16420113+814
1642093+614
1733176+112
1742162+414
2733163+312
26411115+613
2733184+412
2632181+711
3741286+213
3631298+110
3732279-211
3732264+211
4623153+29
4724195+410
4630386+29
4632184+411
5623153+29
5731343+110
5724176+110
5622298+18
6622287+18
662317709
6731366010
6614143+17
7731366010
761323306
7722367-18
7612369-35
86204412-86
87124310-75
8610528-63
872235508
97205613-76
9602407-72
96015210-81
97025817-92
107205510-56
Torneo Federal A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Boca Unidos6420113814LLWLW
1Alvarado642093614DWLWD
1San Martín Mendoza733176112DDWLW
1Gimnasia Chivilcoy742162414DDWLW
2Olimpo Bahia Blanca733163312WWDDD
2San Martin Formosa6411115613WLDWW
2Deportivo Rincon733184412WLLLL
2Gimnasia Concepción632181711LDWLL
3Sol de América741286213LWWLL
3Atenas631298110DDLWD
3Atletico Escobar732279-211DWDWL
3Fundacion Amigos732264211DDWDD
4Independiente De Chivilcoy62315329DLDLL
4Germinal de Rawson724195410LLLWD
4Kimberley Mar del Plata63038629DWWDD
49 de Julio Rafaela632184411LLLWW
5Villa Mitre62315329DWDWW
5Defensores de Belgrano VR731343110DWDDW
5Costa Brava724176110LLWDW
5Defensores de Vilelas62229818LWLWL
6Douglas Haig62228718WLDWD
6Cipolletti62317709WDDWL
6Juventud Unida Univ.731366010DLDDL
6El Linqueño61414317WWLDL
7Guillermo Brown731366010WLWLL
7Sportivo Las Parejas61323306DDDDW
7Argentino Monte Maíz722367-18DDDDD
7Sarmiento de La Banda612369-35DWLWW
8Sarmiento Resistencia6204412-86WLWLW
8Sportivo Belgrano7124310-75DDDDD
8Huracan Las Heras610528-63DWWLW
8Circulo Deportivo72235508DWLDL
9Sol de Mayo7205613-76DLLWD
9Juventud Antoniana602407-72WWDWD
9Bartolomé Mitre6015210-81LWLDD
9Tucuman Central7025817-92DLLLW
10Santamarina7205510-56LDLLD