Cremonese vs Padova Prediction - September 6, 2026

Serie BItalyFull time
Cremonese
3:1
Padova
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.34Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Draw3.42price falling, opened at 3.50
Away4.18price falling, opened at 4.30

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26
Under 1.53.24
Over 2.51.94price rising, opened at 1.93
Under 2.51.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Over 3.53.18
Under 3.51.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.79price falling, opened at 1.80
No1.92price rising, opened at 1.91
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.752.04price rising, opened at 1.98
Away +0.751.66price falling, opened at 1.70

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Cremonese vs Padova?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Cremonese and Padova average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.8%Projected
  2. 1-113.4%Alternative
  3. 0-012.1%
  4. 0-111.8%
  5. 2-07.8%

Top five combined: 58.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCremonesexG1.14
AwayPadovaxG0.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
14%
7.8%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
13%
7.6%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
5.7%
6.5%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.9%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.3%57.7% No
Over 1.5 62.4%37.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 35.4%64.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.4%83.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Cremonese win and over 2.5 goals17.7%
Cremonese win and both teams score13.7%
Padova win and over 2.5 goals13.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Cremonese or draw69.1%
Padova or draw60.7%
Either team wins70.3%
Draw no bet: Cremonese56.0%
Draw no bet: Padova44.0%
Cremonese win to nil25.7%
Padova win to nil19.9%
Team goals
Cremonese to score68.0%
Padova to score62.3%
Cremonese over 1.5 goals31.5%
Padova over 1.5 goals25.5%
Cremonese clean sheet37.7%
Padova clean sheet32.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Cremonese: 4-2-3-1(predicted)Padova: 3-5-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Cremonese vs Padova
League Table

League Table

Serie BItaly · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330073+49
2321063+37
3321041+37
4321042+27
5320152+36
6320152+36
7320152+36
832013306
9312043+15
10311173+44
11311134-14
12311157-24
13310235-23
14310249-53
15301235-21
16301224-21
17301224-21
18301236-31
19310225-31
20300337-40
Relegation
Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Palermo33007349
2Mantova32106337
3Sudtirol32104137
4Ascoli32104227
5Modena32015236
6Pisa32015236
7Avellino32015236
8Empoli32013306
9Cesena31204315
10Verona31117344
11Padova311134-14
12Vicenza Virtus311157-24
13Cremonese310235-23
14Arezzo310249-53
15Virtus Entella301235-21
16Carrarese301224-21
17Benevento301224-21
18Sampdoria301236-31
19Juve Stabia310225-31
20Catanzaro300337-40