Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction - September 6, 2026

La LigaSpainFull time
Alaves
5:2
Osasuna
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.20Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.21price falling, opened at 2.29
Draw3.10price rising, opened at 3.06
Away3.60price rising, opened at 3.46

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.41price falling, opened at 1.46
Under 1.52.90price rising, opened at 2.49
Over 2.52.29price falling, opened at 2.50
Under 2.51.63price rising, opened at 1.53
Over 3.54.38price falling, opened at 4.55
Under 3.51.22price rising, opened at 1.15
Both teams to score
Yes1.96price falling, opened at 2.04
No1.84price rising, opened at 1.71
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.90
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.85price falling, opened at 1.91
Away +0.251.95price rising, opened at 1.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Alaves vs Osasuna?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Alaves are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.8%Projected
  2. 1-113.0%Alternative
  3. 0-010.7%
  4. 0-110.1%
  5. 2-08.9%

Top five combined: 56.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlavesxG1.29
AwayOsasunaxG0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
14%
8.9%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
1
10%
13%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
4.8%
6.2%
4.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.5%
1.9%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 44.4%55.6% No
Over 1.5 65.5%34.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.8%61.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.8%81.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Alaves win and over 2.5 goals21.8%
Alaves win and both teams score16.3%
Osasuna win and over 2.5 goals12.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Alaves or draw72.7%
Osasuna or draw55.6%
Either team wins71.7%
Draw no bet: Alaves62.0%
Draw no bet: Osasuna38.0%
Alaves win to nil28.1%
Osasuna win to nil16.8%
Team goals
Alaves to score72.5%
Osasuna to score61.2%
Alaves over 1.5 goals37.0%
Osasuna over 1.5 goals24.5%
Alaves clean sheet38.8%
Osasuna clean sheet27.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Prediction, preview and head to head: Alaves vs Osasuna
Head to Head

Head to Head

Alaves vs Osasuna: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 5, 2026Alaves2 - 2Osasuna
December 20, 2025Osasuna3 - 0Alaves
May 24, 2025Alaves1 - 1Osasuna
League Table

League Table

La LigaSpain · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400172+1512
24310103+710
34301103+79
443015509
5422085+38
6421176+17
7421176+17
8421156-17
9521268-27
10420265+16
1141215505
12411265+14
13411278-14
144112710-34
15411225-34
16503225-33
17402268-22
18402217-62
194013512-71
20401319-81
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
La Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barcelona44001721512
2Alaves4310103710
3Real Madrid430110379
4Real Betis43015509
5Deportivo La Coruna42208538
6Atletico Madrid42117617
7Sevilla42117617
8Osasuna421156-17
9Real Sociedad521268-27
10Athletic Club42026516
11Levante41215505
12Espanyol41126514
13Racing Santander411278-14
14Rayo Vallecano4112710-34
15Getafe411225-34
16Celta Vigo503225-33
17Villarreal402268-22
18Malaga402217-62
19Elche4013512-71
20Valencia401319-81