Águila vs Alianza Prediction - September 6, 2026

Primera DivisionEl-SalvadorFull time
Águila
2:2
Alianza
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.13price falling, opened at 2.21
Draw3.05price rising, opened at 2.98
Away3.29price rising, opened at 3.19

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price falling, opened at 1.33
Under 1.53.08price rising, opened at 2.81
Over 2.51.97price falling, opened at 2.12
Under 2.51.73price rising, opened at 1.63
Over 3.53.28price falling, opened at 3.76
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.19
Both teams to score
Yes1.75price falling, opened at 1.83
No1.93price rising, opened at 1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.76price falling, opened at 1.77
Handicap
Home -0.251.82price falling, opened at 1.87
Away +0.251.86price rising, opened at 1.81

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Águila vs Alianza?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Águila and Alianza average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-114.2%Projected
  2. 1-113.1%Alternative
  3. 0-011.2%
  4. 1-010.3%
  5. 0-29.0%

Top five combined: 57.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeÁguilaxG0.92
AwayAlianzaxG1.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
10%
4.8%
1.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1
14%
13%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
2
9.0%
8.3%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
3
3.8%
3.5%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.2%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 43.2%56.8% No
Over 1.5 64.2%35.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 37.4%62.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 17.8%82.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Águila win and over 2.5 goals11.9%
Águila win and both teams score10.0%
Alianza win and over 2.5 goals21.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Águila or draw55.7%
Alianza or draw73.0%
Either team wins71.3%
Draw no bet: Águila37.9%
Draw no bet: Alianza62.1%
Águila win to nil17.0%
Alianza win to nil28.6%
Team goals
Águila to score60.2%
Alianza to score71.8%
Águila over 1.5 goals23.5%
Alianza over 1.5 goals36.1%
Águila clean sheet28.2%
Alianza clean sheet39.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Águila vs Alianza
Head to Head

Head to Head

Águila vs Alianza: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 10, 2026Alianza0 - 2Águila
April 16, 2026Alianza0 - 2Águila
February 19, 2026Águila0 - 3Alianza
November 2, 2025Alianza0 - 1Águila
September 20, 2025Águila1 - 2Alianza
League Table

League Table

Primera DivisionEl-Salvador · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18512147+716
29513139+416
38431126+615
47421124+814
59423129+314
693331112-112
772329909
89234812-49
991531213-18
109225516-118
1181431114-37
128134513-86
Primera Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1FAS8512147716WLW
2Isidro Metapán9513139416DWW
3Inter8431126615DDD
4Firpo7421124814WD
5Municipal Limeño9423129314DWL
6Platense93331112-112DD
7Alianza72329909W
8Atletico Balboa9234812-49DLD
9Águila91531213-18DDD
10Inca Aruba9225516-118LLL
11Cacahuatique81431114-37DWL
12Fuerte San Francisco8134513-86DLD