Swindon Town vs Colchester Prediction - September 5, 2026

League TwoEnglandFull time
Swindon Town
3:1
Colchester
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.75price rising, opened at 2.73
Draw3.50price rising, opened at 3.28
Away1.83price falling, opened at 2.45

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25
Under 1.53.28
Over 2.51.86price falling, opened at 1.89
Under 2.51.84price falling, opened at 1.86
Over 3.53.08
Under 3.51.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.75price rising, opened at 1.68
No1.95price falling, opened at 2.06
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.88
Even1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.751.63
Away -0.752.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Colchester?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Swindon Town are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Swindon Town and Colchester average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.4%Projected
  2. 1-09.7%Alternative
  3. 0-18.9%
  4. 2-18.6%
  5. 1-27.8%

Top five combined: 47.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSwindon TownxG1.39
AwayColchesterxG1.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.0%
9.7%
6.8%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
1
8.9%
12%
8.6%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.6%
7.8%
5.4%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
3
2.4%
3.3%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.0%46.0% No
Over 1.5 74.4%25.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.6%50.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.7%72.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Swindon Town win and over 2.5 goals23.3%
Swindon Town win and both teams score18.7%
Colchester win and over 2.5 goals19.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Swindon Town or draw65.8%
Colchester or draw60.2%
Either team wins74.0%
Draw no bet: Swindon Town53.7%
Draw no bet: Colchester46.3%
Swindon Town win to nil21.1%
Colchester win to nil17.9%
Team goals
Swindon Town to score75.1%
Colchester to score71.9%
Swindon Town over 1.5 goals40.5%
Colchester over 1.5 goals36.2%
Swindon Town clean sheet28.1%
Colchester clean sheet24.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Swindon Town vs Colchester
Head to Head

Head to Head

Swindon Town vs Colchester: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 10, 2026Colchester3 - 0Swindon Town
October 25, 2025Swindon Town0 - 0Colchester
League Table

League Table

League TwoEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14301116+59
2422095+48
3422084+48
4422042+28
5421173+47
6421187+17
7421187+17
842115507
942115507
10413075+26
11413054+16
1100000000
12413043+16
1341216605
1441129904
1541124404
16411234-14
17411235-24
18403123-13
19410346-23
20410336-33
21403125-33
22410328-63
23402269-32
24402226-42
Relegation
League Two - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Bristol Rovers430111659
2Barnet42209548
3Walsall42208448
4Crewe42204228
5Oldham42117347
6Cheltenham42118717
7York42118717
8Colchester42115507
9Swindon Town42115507
10Tranmere Rovers41307526
11Grimsby41305416
11Tranmere00000000
12Fleetwood Town41304316
13Rotherham41216605
14Newport County41129904
15Exeter City41124404
16Chesterfield411234-14
17Crawley Town411235-24
18Northampton403123-13
19Rochdale410346-23
20Salford City410336-33
21Gillingham403125-33
22Shrewsbury410328-63
23Accrington ST402269-32
24Port Vale402226-42