Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction - September 5, 2026

First LeagueBulgariaFull time
Spartak Varna
1:1
CSKA Sofia
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.38Won

Bookmaker odds

Home5.65
Draw4.05
Away1.54

This line has not moved since it opened on Sep 2.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22
Under 1.53.48
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.51.95
Over 3.52.88
Under 3.51.32
Both teams to score
Yes1.86
No1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +11.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Away -11.87price falling, opened at 1.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CSKA Sofia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Spartak Varna and CSKA Sofia average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.5%Projected
  2. 1-18.3%Alternative
  3. 0-27.8%
  4. 1-37.3%
  5. 0-16.8%

Top five combined: 39.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSpartak VarnaxG1.22
AwayCSKA SofiaxG2.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.9%
3.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1
6.8%
8.3%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
2
7.8%
9.5%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
3
6.0%
7.3%
4.5%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
4
3.5%
4.2%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
1.6%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 63.4%36.6% No
Over 1.5 86.7%13.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 68.4%31.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.9%53.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Spartak Varna win and over 2.5 goals13.3%
Spartak Varna win and both teams score12.0%
CSKA Sofia win and over 2.5 goals47.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Spartak Varna or draw38.3%
CSKA Sofia or draw80.9%
Either team wins80.8%
Draw no bet: Spartak Varna23.6%
Draw no bet: CSKA Sofia76.4%
Spartak Varna win to nil7.0%
CSKA Sofia win to nil26.6%
Team goals
Spartak Varna to score70.4%
CSKA Sofia to score90.0%
Spartak Varna over 1.5 goals34.4%
CSKA Sofia over 1.5 goals67.0%
Spartak Varna clean sheet10.0%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet29.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Team news

Expected formations

CSKA Sofia: 3-5-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
Head to Head

Head to Head

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
November 29, 2025Spartak Varna0 - 4CSKA Sofia
July 26, 2025CSKA Sofia1 - 1Spartak Varna
May 13, 2025CSKA Sofia5 - 0Spartak Varna
April 26, 2025Spartak Varna0 - 1CSKA Sofia
League Table

League Table

First LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
19810214+1725
28620216+1520
2330051+49
38620146+820
49612179+819
595131411+316
694141314-113
7925286+211
892431014-410
99225717-108
108224713-68
119207412-86
1291261019-95
1380441016-64
149117817-94
Relegation
First League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Levski Sofia98102141725WWW
2CSKA Sofia86202161520WWD
2Ludogorets Razgrad33005149
3Ludogorets8620146820WWW
4CSKA 19489612179819WWD
5Arda Kardzhali95131411316LWD
6Botev Plovdiv94141314-113WLD
7Slavia Sofia925286211DLD
8Spartak Varna92431014-410WWD
9Botev Vratsa9225717-108LLD
10Septemvri Sofia8224713-68LLD
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv9207412-86LWL
12Cherno More Varna91261019-95LLD
13Lokomotiv Sofia80441016-64DLD
14Dunav Ruse9117817-94LLL