South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Prediction - September 5, 2026

Victoria NPLAustraliaFull time
South Melbourne
2:1
Heidelberg United
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.98price falling, opened at 2.13
Draw3.54price rising, opened at 3.38
Away3.54price rising, opened at 2.98

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price rising, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.00price rising, opened at 3.98
Over 2.51.74price rising, opened at 1.66
Under 2.52.10price rising, opened at 2.07
Over 3.52.65price rising, opened at 2.59
Under 3.51.45price rising, opened at 1.39
Both teams to score
Yes1.62price rising, opened at 1.54
No2.21price falling, opened at 2.27
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.66price falling, opened at 1.84
Away +0.252.14price rising, opened at 1.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • South Melbourne and Heidelberg United average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-19.4%Projected
  2. 2-19.2%Alternative
  3. 1-26.8%
  4. 2-26.7%
  5. 1-06.4%

Top five combined: 38.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSouth MelbournexG1.96
AwayHeidelberg UnitedxG1.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.3%
6.4%
6.3%
4.1%
2.0%
0.8%
0.4%
1
4.8%
9.4%
9.2%
6.0%
3.0%
1.2%
0.5%
2
3.5%
6.8%
6.7%
4.4%
2.1%
0.8%
0.4%
3
1.7%
3.3%
3.2%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.6%
1.2%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.9%34.1% No
Over 1.5 85.5%14.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 66.3%33.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 44.5%55.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

South Melbourne win and over 2.5 goals36.8%
South Melbourne win and both teams score29.4%
Heidelberg United win and over 2.5 goals20.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
South Melbourne or draw71.4%
Heidelberg United or draw50.5%
Either team wins78.1%
Draw no bet: South Melbourne63.4%
Draw no bet: Heidelberg United36.6%
South Melbourne win to nil20.1%
Heidelberg United win to nil10.8%
Team goals
South Melbourne to score86.0%
Heidelberg United to score76.6%
South Melbourne over 1.5 goals58.4%
Heidelberg United over 1.5 goals42.6%
South Melbourne clean sheet23.4%
Heidelberg United clean sheet14.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Prediction, preview and head to head: South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United
Head to Head

Head to Head

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 23, 2026South Melbourne1 - 2Heidelberg United
May 8, 2026Heidelberg United4 - 0South Melbourne
November 29, 2025South Melbourne1 - 0Heidelberg United
July 26, 2025Heidelberg United1 - 1South Melbourne
League Table

League Table

Victoria NPLAustralia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12616645624+3254
22615654119+2251
32615475136+1549
42615296534+3147
526132113936+341
62611784234+840
72691163534+138
82610793531+437
92697103643-734
102686124242030
112677122842-1428
122666142751-2424
132646162352-2918
142643192365-4215
Victoria NPL - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Oakleigh Cannons26166456243254DLWWD
2Preston Lions26156541192251DWDWW
3Hume City26154751361549WLLLD
4Avondale26152965343147WWDLL
5South Melbourne26132113936341WWDWW
6Heidelberg United2611784234840LDDDD
7Sunshine Georgies2691163534138DDWDD
8Dandenong City2610793531437WDLLD
9St. Albans Saints2697103643-734LWDDD
10Melbourne City II2686124242030LLLDW
11Altona Magic2677122842-1428DWDWL
12Bentleigh Greens2666142751-2424DLWLL
13Green Gully2646162352-2918DDWLW
14Dandenong Thunder2643192365-4215LLLWL