Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Prediction - September 5, 2026

J2 LeagueJapanFull time
Sagan Tosu
2:0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.28price falling, opened at 2.30
Draw3.06price falling, opened at 3.08
Away2.99price rising, opened at 2.94

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.32
Under 1.52.88
Over 2.52.11price falling, opened at 2.12
Under 2.51.65price rising, opened at 1.64
Over 3.53.78price falling, opened at 3.84
Under 3.51.19price rising, opened at 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes1.83
No1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.94price falling, opened at 1.96
Away +0.251.74price rising, opened at 1.72

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sagan Tosu are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Sagan Tosu and Tegevajaro Miyazaki average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.8%Projected
  2. 1-010.2%Alternative
  3. 2-19.4%
  4. 2-08.2%
  5. 0-17.4%

Top five combined: 47.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSagan TosuxG1.60
AwayTegevajaro MiyazakixG1.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.4%
10%
8.2%
4.3%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
1
7.4%
12%
9.4%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
2
4.2%
6.8%
5.4%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.6%
2.6%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.6%45.4% No
Over 1.5 76.0%24.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.8%48.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.7%70.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sagan Tosu win and over 2.5 goals29.3%
Sagan Tosu win and both teams score22.5%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki win and over 2.5 goals15.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sagan Tosu or draw72.5%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw52.3%
Either team wins75.2%
Draw no bet: Sagan Tosu63.4%
Draw no bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki36.6%
Sagan Tosu win to nil25.2%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki win to nil13.9%
Team goals
Sagan Tosu to score79.7%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to score68.4%
Sagan Tosu over 1.5 goals47.4%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki over 1.5 goals32.0%
Sagan Tosu clean sheet31.6%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki clean sheet20.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Head to Head

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 21, 2026Tegevajaro Miyazaki2 - 1Sagan Tosu
League Table

League Table

J2 LeagueJapan · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14310105+510
2430171+69
3430184+49
4430164+29
5422042+28
6421164+27
7421176+17
8421165+17
94202105+56
10420296+36
11420237-46
1241215505
13411243+14
14411246-24
15411224-24
16411237-44
17410358-33
184103611-53
19402236-32
204004312-90
Relegation
J2 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Omiya Ardija4310105510
2Montedio Yamagata43017169
3Fujieda MYFC43018449
4Albirex Niigata43016429
5Shonan Bellmare42204228
6Vegalta Sendai42116427
7Jubilo Iwata42117617
8Yokohama FC42116517
9Kataller Toyama420210556
10Tochigi City42029636
11Vanraure Hachinohe420237-46
12Sagan Tosu41215505
13Oita Trinita41124314
14Blaublitz Akita411246-24
15Tokushima Vortis411224-24
16Ventforet Kofu411237-44
17Consadole Sapporo410358-33
18Iwaki4103611-53
19Tegevajaro Miyazaki402236-32
20Imabari4004312-90