Rochdale vs Gillingham Prediction - September 5, 2026

League TwoEnglandFull time
Rochdale
1:4
Gillingham
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.30Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.11price falling, opened at 2.12
Draw3.30price falling, opened at 3.34
Away3.37price rising, opened at 3.31

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price rising, opened at 1.27
Under 1.53.04price falling, opened at 3.14
Over 2.52.06price rising, opened at 1.97
Under 2.51.72price falling, opened at 1.79
Over 3.53.58price rising, opened at 3.34
Under 3.51.21price falling, opened at 1.24
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price rising, opened at 1.76
No1.88price falling, opened at 1.96
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.80price falling, opened at 1.82
Away +0.251.93price rising, opened at 1.91

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Gillingham?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Gillingham are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Rochdale and Gillingham average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-016.3%Projected
  2. 0-014.5%Alternative
  3. 1-113.2%
  4. 0-111.7%
  5. 2-09.1%

Top five combined: 64.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRochdalexG1.12
AwayGillinghamxG0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15%
16%
9.1%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
13%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
4.7%
5.3%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 37.4%62.6% No
Over 1.5 57.5%42.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 30.4%69.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 13.0%87.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Rochdale win and over 2.5 goals17.4%
Rochdale win and both teams score12.8%
Gillingham win and over 2.5 goals9.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals27.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Rochdale or draw73.8%
Gillingham or draw57.1%
Either team wins69.0%
Draw no bet: Rochdale62.1%
Draw no bet: Gillingham37.9%
Rochdale win to nil30.1%
Gillingham win to nil18.0%
Team goals
Rochdale to score67.5%
Gillingham to score55.4%
Rochdale over 1.5 goals30.9%
Gillingham over 1.5 goals19.4%
Rochdale clean sheet44.6%
Gillingham clean sheet32.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Rochdale vs Gillingham
League Table

League Table

League TwoEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14301116+59
2422095+48
3422084+48
4422042+28
5421173+47
6421187+17
7421187+17
842115507
942115507
10413075+26
11413054+16
1100000000
12413043+16
1341216605
1441129904
1541124404
16411234-14
17411235-24
18403123-13
19410346-23
20410336-33
21403125-33
22410328-63
23402269-32
24402226-42
Relegation
League Two - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Bristol Rovers430111659
2Barnet42209548
3Walsall42208448
4Crewe42204228
5Oldham42117347
6Cheltenham42118717
7York42118717
8Colchester42115507
9Swindon Town42115507
10Tranmere Rovers41307526
11Grimsby41305416
11Tranmere00000000
12Fleetwood Town41304316
13Rotherham41216605
14Newport County41129904
15Exeter City41124404
16Chesterfield411234-14
17Crawley Town411235-24
18Northampton403123-13
19Rochdale410346-23
20Salford City410336-33
21Gillingham403125-33
22Shrewsbury410328-63
23Accrington ST402269-32
24Port Vale402226-42