Rhode Island vs Louisville City Prediction - September 5, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
Rhode Island
1:1
Louisville City
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.19price falling, opened at 2.20
Draw3.30price rising, opened at 3.24
Away2.94price falling, opened at 2.97

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price falling, opened at 1.23
Under 1.53.70price rising, opened at 3.42
Over 2.51.74price falling, opened at 1.83
Under 2.51.98price rising, opened at 1.87
Over 3.52.78price falling, opened at 2.97
Under 3.51.34price rising, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.60price falling, opened at 1.65
No2.18price rising, opened at 2.08
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.88price falling, opened at 1.89
Away +0.251.79price rising, opened at 1.78

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Why this prediction

  • Rhode Island and Louisville City average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.0%Projected
  2. 2-19.0%Alternative
  3. 1-07.9%
  4. 1-27.7%
  5. 0-16.8%

Top five combined: 42.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRhode IslandxG1.63
AwayLouisville CityxG1.40
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.8%
7.9%
6.4%
3.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
1
6.8%
11%
9.0%
4.9%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
2
4.7%
7.7%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
3
2.2%
3.6%
2.9%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.6%39.4% No
Over 1.5 80.5%19.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.4%41.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.0%64.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Rhode Island win and over 2.5 goals28.8%
Rhode Island win and both teams score23.2%
Louisville City win and over 2.5 goals21.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Rhode Island or draw67.0%
Louisville City or draw57.0%
Either team wins76.0%
Draw no bet: Rhode Island56.6%
Draw no bet: Louisville City43.4%
Rhode Island win to nil19.8%
Louisville City win to nil14.8%
Team goals
Rhode Island to score80.4%
Louisville City to score75.3%
Rhode Island over 1.5 goals48.5%
Louisville City over 1.5 goals40.8%
Rhode Island clean sheet24.7%
Louisville City clean sheet19.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Prediction, preview and head to head: Rhode Island vs Louisville City
Head to Head

Head to Head

Rhode Island vs Louisville City: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 21, 2026Louisville City4 - 2Rhode Island
September 6, 2025Rhode Island0 - 1Louisville City
June 12, 2025Louisville City2 - 1Rhode Island
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12312473929+1040
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22011452920+937
3229853331+235
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42110562619+735
5188282020026
5229852826+235
62310493836+234
6195772431-722
7218852819+932
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
8229493126+531
9174851216-420
9228592832-429
10173952129-818
10227873130+129
11173861821-317
11236982831-327
122345142441-1717
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive23124739291040LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United2011452920937WWWWD
3Orange County SC229853331235WWDDW
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4FC Tulsa2110562619735WDWLW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5San Antonio229852826235WWLDW
6Colorado Springs2310493836234LWWWL
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7Sacramento Republic218852819932WWDWL
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Lexington229493126531WDWLW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Las Vegas Lights228592832-429DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
10Phoenix Rising227873130129DDWLL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots236982831-327LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2345142441-1717LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD