Primavera SP vs São Caetano Prediction - September 5, 2026

Copa PaulistaBrazilFull time
Primavera SP
7:0
São Caetano
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.35Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.22price falling, opened at 1.27
Draw5.00price rising, opened at 4.60
Away12.10price rising, opened at 10.30

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21price falling, opened at 1.22
Under 1.53.58price rising, opened at 3.50
Over 2.51.75price falling, opened at 1.80
Under 2.51.94price rising, opened at 1.89
Over 3.52.83price falling, opened at 2.97
Under 3.51.33price rising, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes2.34price rising, opened at 2.22
No1.51price falling, opened at 1.56
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Even1.81price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -1.51.80price falling, opened at 1.93
Away +1.51.88price rising, opened at 1.75

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Primavera SP vs São Caetano?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Primavera SP are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Primavera SP and São Caetano average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.4%Projected
  2. 1-18.8%Alternative
  3. 0-27.0%
  4. 1-36.7%
  5. 0-16.6%

Top five combined: 38.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePrimavera SPxG1.35
AwaySão CaetanoxG2.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.1%
4.1%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
6.6%
8.8%
5.9%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.0%
9.4%
6.4%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
5.0%
6.7%
4.5%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
2.7%
3.6%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
5
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.2%34.8% No
Over 1.5 86.2%13.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.6%32.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.0%54.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Primavera SP win and over 2.5 goals16.8%
Primavera SP win and both teams score15.0%
São Caetano win and over 2.5 goals42.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Primavera SP or draw44.4%
São Caetano or draw76.3%
Either team wins79.3%
Draw no bet: Primavera SP29.9%
Draw no bet: São Caetano70.1%
Primavera SP win to nil8.7%
São Caetano win to nil23.0%
Team goals
Primavera SP to score74.0%
São Caetano to score88.2%
Primavera SP over 1.5 goals38.9%
São Caetano over 1.5 goals63.0%
Primavera SP clean sheet11.8%
São Caetano clean sheet26.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.08

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

More Copa Paulista Predictions

59%
EC São Bernardo
Comercial
Match Winner: Home @ 1.95
View All Predictions
Prediction, preview and head to head: Primavera SP vs São Caetano
Head to Head

Head to Head

Primavera SP
0 - 5
São Caetano
August 29, 2026
Primavera SP vs São Caetano: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 29, 2026Primavera SP0 - 5São Caetano