Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena Prediction - September 5, 2026

Primera BColombiaFull time
Orsomarso
0:1
Real Cartagena
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.26Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.09price falling, opened at 3.12
Draw3.09price falling, opened at 3.16
Away2.37price rising, opened at 2.16

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price rising, opened at 1.32
Under 1.53.00price rising, opened at 2.88
Over 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.11
Under 2.51.67price rising, opened at 1.65
Over 3.53.71price falling, opened at 3.80
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.19
Both teams to score
Yes2.02price rising, opened at 1.83
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd2.02price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.74price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.251.80price rising, opened at 1.79
Away -0.252.01price rising, opened at 1.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Real Cartagena are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.6%Our score
  2. 1-29.2%Alternative
  3. 0-19.2%
  4. 2-17.3%
  5. 1-07.3%

Top five combined: 44.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeOrsomarsoxG1.26
AwayReal CartagenaxG1.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.8%
7.3%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
9.2%
12%
7.3%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
7.3%
9.2%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
3.9%
4.9%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.1%42.9% No
Over 1.5 77.8%22.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.3%45.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.0%68.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Orsomarso win and over 2.5 goals18.5%
Orsomarso win and both teams score15.8%
Real Cartagena win and over 2.5 goals28.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Orsomarso or draw55.1%
Real Cartagena or draw69.6%
Either team wins75.4%
Draw no bet: Orsomarso40.4%
Draw no bet: Real Cartagena59.6%
Orsomarso win to nil14.7%
Real Cartagena win to nil22.5%
Team goals
Orsomarso to score71.7%
Real Cartagena to score79.6%
Orsomarso over 1.5 goals36.0%
Real Cartagena over 1.5 goals47.1%
Orsomarso clean sheet20.4%
Real Cartagena clean sheet28.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena
Head to Head

Head to Head

Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 21, 2025Real Cartagena3 - 1Orsomarso
League Table

League Table

Primera BColombia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13115885035+1553
22915863827+1153
32914963018+1251
43014884028+1250
52914694028+1248
629108112725+238
7239952316+736
8249782929034
92997133539-434
1029810112330-734
11236982727027
11154561317-417
12226791723-625
13235992530-524
1415249824-1610
142358102432-823
162338122037-1717
Primera B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Real Cartagena31158850351553DLLLW
2Internacional Palmira29158638271153WWWWW
3Quindio29149630181251WWLDW
4Envigado30148840281250DWWWL
5Union Magdalena29146940281248WLWWW
6Tigres FC29108112725238LWWLD
7Ind. Yumbo239952316736DDLWL
8Patriotas249782929034LWWLD
9Barranquilla2997133539-434WLWLW
10Bogota FC29810112330-734WWDWL
11Real Soacha236982727027DLDLD
11Patriotas Boyacá154561317-417
12Orsomarso226791723-625DLLDW
13Popayan235992530-524LDDDD
14Leones FC15249824-1610DWLLL
14Depor FC2358102432-823LLLDW
16Real Santander2338122037-1717LLLLL