Northampton vs Newport County Prediction - September 5, 2026

League TwoEnglandFull time
Northampton
1:0
Newport County
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.70price falling, opened at 1.78
Draw3.55price rising, opened at 3.44
Away4.92price rising, opened at 4.54

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price falling, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.20price rising, opened at 3.08
Over 2.51.96price falling, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.80price rising, opened at 1.75
Over 3.53.28price falling, opened at 3.42
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes1.87
No1.83
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price falling, opened at 1.89
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.751.85price falling, opened at 1.94
Away +0.751.80price rising, opened at 1.72

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Northampton vs Newport County?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Northampton are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Northampton and Newport County average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-015.2%Projected
  2. 1-112.6%Alternative
  3. 0-011.0%
  4. 2-010.5%
  5. 0-19.1%

Top five combined: 58.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNorthamptonxG1.38
AwayNewport CountyxG0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
15%
10%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
9.1%
13%
8.7%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
3.8%
5.2%
3.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
3
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.1%57.9% No
Over 1.5 64.7%35.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 37.9%62.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.2%81.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Northampton win and over 2.5 goals24.2%
Northampton win and both teams score17.1%
Newport County win and over 2.5 goals9.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Northampton or draw77.5%
Newport County or draw50.2%
Either team wins72.4%
Draw no bet: Northampton68.8%
Draw no bet: Newport County31.2%
Northampton win to nil32.7%
Newport County win to nil14.2%
Team goals
Northampton to score74.8%
Newport County to score56.3%
Northampton over 1.5 goals40.1%
Newport County over 1.5 goals20.2%
Northampton clean sheet43.7%
Newport County clean sheet25.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Northampton vs Newport County
League Table

League Table

League TwoEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14301116+59
2422095+48
3422084+48
4422042+28
5421173+47
6421187+17
7421187+17
842115507
942115507
10413075+26
11413054+16
1100000000
12413043+16
1341216605
1441129904
1541124404
16411234-14
17411235-24
18403123-13
19410346-23
20410336-33
21403125-33
22410328-63
23402269-32
24402226-42
Relegation
League Two - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Bristol Rovers430111659
2Barnet42209548
3Walsall42208448
4Crewe42204228
5Oldham42117347
6Cheltenham42118717
7York42118717
8Colchester42115507
9Swindon Town42115507
10Tranmere Rovers41307526
11Grimsby41305416
11Tranmere00000000
12Fleetwood Town41304316
13Rotherham41216605
14Newport County41129904
15Exeter City41124404
16Chesterfield411234-14
17Crawley Town411235-24
18Northampton403123-13
19Rochdale410346-23
20Salford City410336-33
21Gillingham403125-33
22Shrewsbury410328-63
23Accrington ST402269-32
24Port Vale402226-42