Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction - September 5, 2026

Premier LeagueUkraineFull time
Karpaty
1:2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.44Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.34price falling, opened at 5.50
Draw3.64price falling, opened at 4.32
Away1.82price rising, opened at 1.56

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31price rising, opened at 1.21
Under 1.53.29price falling, opened at 4.07
Over 2.51.97price rising, opened at 1.68
Under 2.51.83price falling, opened at 2.11
Over 3.53.35price rising, opened at 2.68
Under 3.51.30price falling, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.85price rising, opened at 1.76
No1.87price falling, opened at 1.97
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +0.751.75
Away -0.752.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Karpaty and Shakhtar Donetsk average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.4%Projected
  2. 1-18.3%Alternative
  3. 0-27.1%
  4. 1-37.1%
  5. 0-16.3%

Top five combined: 38.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKarpatyxG1.32
AwayShakhtar DonetskxG2.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.8%
3.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
6.3%
8.3%
5.5%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.1%
9.4%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
3
5.4%
7.1%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
4
3.0%
4.0%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
5
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.7%34.3% No
Over 1.5 87.3%12.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 69.5%30.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 48.2%51.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Karpaty win and over 2.5 goals15.5%
Karpaty win and both teams score14.0%
Shakhtar Donetsk win and over 2.5 goals45.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Karpaty or draw41.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw78.4%
Either team wins80.2%
Draw no bet: Karpaty26.9%
Draw no bet: Shakhtar Donetsk73.1%
Karpaty win to nil7.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk win to nil23.9%
Team goals
Karpaty to score73.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk to score89.6%
Karpaty over 1.5 goals38.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals66.0%
Karpaty clean sheet10.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet26.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Head to Head

Head to Head

Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 22, 2026Shakhtar Donetsk3 - 0Karpaty
August 10, 2025Karpaty3 - 3Shakhtar Donetsk
March 11, 2025Karpaty0 - 0Shakhtar Donetsk
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueUkraine · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15401135+812
25401104+612
35311124+810
45302104+69
5522162+48
6421145-17
6110010+13
7521268-27
851313306
9512234-15
10512279-25
11512224-25
1240402204
13411224-24
14100114-30
14503208-83
15402236-32
15100103-30
165023213-112
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Polessya5401135812W
2Shakhtar Donetsk5401104612W
3Karpaty5311124810W
4Metalist 1925 Kharkiv530210469
5Epitsentr Dunayivtsi52216248W
6Dynamo Kyiv421145-17
6FC Kharkiv11001013W
7Zorya Luhansk521268-27W
8Bukovyna51313306D
9Veres Rivne512234-15L
10Hirnyk512279-25
11LNZ Cherkasy512224-25D
12Livyi Bereh40402204
13Chornomorets411224-24L
14Kryvbas KR100114-30L
14Obolon Kyiv503208-83
15Kolos Kovalivka402236-32L
15Obolon'-Brovar100103-30L
16Kudrivka5023213-112L