Holstein Kiel vs FC Nurnberg Prediction - September 5, 2026

2. BundesligaGermanyFull time
Holstein Kiel
2:2
FC Nurnberg
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 1.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.21price falling, opened at 2.42
Draw3.55price rising, opened at 3.48
Away3.00price rising, opened at 2.69

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.12price falling, opened at 1.14
Under 1.54.75price rising, opened at 4.40
Over 2.51.49price falling, opened at 1.60
Under 2.52.32price rising, opened at 2.29
Over 3.52.31price falling, opened at 2.38
Under 3.51.59price rising, opened at 1.47
Both teams to score
Yes1.44price falling, opened at 1.48
No2.58price rising, opened at 2.47
Odd/Even
Odd1.88
Even1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.88
Away +0.251.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs FC Nurnberg?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Nurnberg are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Holstein Kiel and FC Nurnberg average 4.9 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-27.7%Projected
  2. 2-27.3%Alternative
  3. 1-17.1%
  4. 2-16.7%
  5. 1-35.6%

Top five combined: 34.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHolstein KielxG1.89
AwayFC NurnbergxG2.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.7%
3.3%
3.1%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
1
3.7%
7.1%
6.7%
4.2%
2.0%
0.7%
0.3%
2
4.1%
7.7%
7.3%
4.6%
2.2%
0.8%
0.3%
3
2.9%
5.6%
5.3%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
0.3%
4
1.6%
3.0%
2.9%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
5
0.7%
1.3%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 75.2%24.8% No
Over 1.5 91.3%8.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 77.1%22.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 57.8%42.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Holstein Kiel win and over 2.5 goals28.0%
Holstein Kiel win and both teams score24.7%
FC Nurnberg win and over 2.5 goals37.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Holstein Kiel or draw54.7%
FC Nurnberg or draw65.6%
Either team wins79.7%
Draw no bet: Holstein Kiel43.2%
Draw no bet: FC Nurnberg56.8%
Holstein Kiel win to nil9.7%
FC Nurnberg win to nil13.4%
Team goals
Holstein Kiel to score84.9%
FC Nurnberg to score88.6%
Holstein Kiel over 1.5 goals56.3%
FC Nurnberg over 1.5 goals63.9%
Holstein Kiel clean sheet11.4%
FC Nurnberg clean sheet15.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Holstein Kiel: 4-5-1(confirmed lineup)FC Nurnberg: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Holstein Kiel vs FC Nurnberg
League Table

League Table

2. BundesligaGermany · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14310135+810
23300104+69
34220106+48
4422051+48
53201101006
632016606
742023306
8412168-25
9311178-14
10411278-14
1141121012-24
12411246-24
13310297+23
14403167-13
15403168-23
16310247-33
174103510-53
18401327-51
2. Bundesliga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1FC Nurnberg4310135810
2Hertha BSC330010469
3VfL Wolfsburg422010648
41. FC Kaiserslautern42205148
5FC Heidenheim3201101006
6FC Magdeburg32016606
7VfL Bochum42023306
8Karlsruher SC412168-25
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth311178-14
10Arminia Bielefeld411278-14
11Energie Cottbus41121012-24
12Hannover 96411246-24
13Eintracht Braunschweig31029723
14FC St. Pauli403167-13
15Holstein Kiel403168-23
16VfL Osnabrück310247-33
17Dynamo Dresden4103510-53
18SV Darmstadt 98401327-51