Concepción vs A. Italiano Prediction - September 5, 2026

Primera DivisionChileFull time
Concepción
0:1
A. Italiano
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.35Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.20price rising, opened at 1.99
Draw3.20price falling, opened at 3.25
Away3.48price rising, opened at 3.46

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.44price rising, opened at 1.29
Under 1.52.75price falling, opened at 3.20
Over 2.52.27price rising, opened at 1.94
Under 2.51.62price falling, opened at 1.77
Over 3.54.17price rising, opened at 3.30
Under 3.51.22price falling, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.86price rising, opened at 1.78
No1.93price falling, opened at 1.94
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.72
Away +0.251.90price falling, opened at 2.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Concepción vs A. Italiano?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Concepción and A. Italiano average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.9%Our score
  2. 2-19.7%Alternative
  3. 1-09.3%
  4. 2-08.2%
  5. 1-26.4%

Top five combined: 44.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeConcepciónxG1.78
AwayA. ItalianoxG1.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.2%
9.3%
8.2%
4.9%
2.2%
0.8%
0.3%
1
6.1%
11%
9.7%
5.7%
2.5%
0.9%
0.4%
2
3.6%
6.4%
5.7%
3.4%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.4%
2.5%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.5%42.5% No
Over 1.5 79.4%20.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.6%43.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.2%65.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Concepción win and over 2.5 goals33.9%
Concepción win and both teams score25.8%
A. Italiano win and over 2.5 goals15.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Concepción or draw74.8%
A. Italiano or draw48.6%
Either team wins76.7%
Draw no bet: Concepción67.1%
Draw no bet: A. Italiano32.9%
Concepción win to nil25.6%
A. Italiano win to nil11.7%
Team goals
Concepción to score83.1%
A. Italiano to score69.2%
Concepción over 1.5 goals53.0%
A. Italiano over 1.5 goals32.9%
Concepción clean sheet30.8%
A. Italiano clean sheet16.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Concepción: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Concepción vs A. Italiano
Head to Head

Head to Head

Concepción vs A. Italiano: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 13, 2026A. Italiano3 - 0Concepción
League Table

League Table

Primera DivisionChile · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12317334822+2654
32312653519+1642
3178363826+1227
42310673725+1236
52311393633+336
623103104335+833
7238872831-332
82394102526-131
9237973438-430
10228593131029
11237792631-528
122383122836-827
132174102939-1025
13174762530-519
142373133444-1024
152264121737-2022
162345141940-2117
Primera Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Colo Colo23173348222654WWWWW
3Universidad de Chile23126535191642WWWDW
3U. Catolica1783638261227LDWWL
4Everton de Vina23106737251236LDLWD
5Palestino2311393633336WLWDW
6Deportes Limache23103104335833LLLLL
7Nublense238872831-332WDWDL
8Concepción2394102526-131WWWLW
9Deportes La Serena237973438-430
10Coquimbo Unido228593131029LDWDW
11A. Italiano237792631-528WLDDW
12O'Higgins2383122836-827WLLDL
13Huachipato2174102939-1025LDDLL
13D. La Serena174762530-519LDDLW
14Cobresal2373133444-1024WDLLL
15Universidad de Concepcion2264121737-2022LLDDW
16Union La Calera2345141940-2117LDDDL