Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction - September 5, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 2.51.47Won
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Mito Hollyhock are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
The 1.47 price on Under 2.5 goals for Avispa Fukuoka's J1 League home date with Mito Hollyhock on 5 September needs about 68 percent to break even before margin, well under the 74 percent probability Superior's model gives the pick, built on both sides averaging exactly 1.2 goals a game.
Both attacks are averaging exactly 1.2 goals a game
Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock are both averaging 1.2 goals a game this season, a combined rate that sits comfortably under the 2.5 line. Both sides are also carrying identical fixture congestion, three days' rest and four matches in the last fortnight, which tends to flatten games into cagier, more cautious contests rather than end-to-end ones.
Avispa's 3-0 win shows the congestion has not always meant caution
The pick loses if this produces three goals or more, and Avispa's 3-0 win earlier in their run did exactly that despite the same heavy schedule. Mito Hollyhock have also scored three in a 3-1 win this season. If either side finds an early goal against a tired opponent, the extra fixtures could work against caution rather than for it.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
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Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-112.6%Projected
- 1-011.1%Alternative
- 0-19.0%
- 2-18.8%
- 0-07.9%
Top five combined: 49.4%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 2.07
See the ticketTeam news
Confirmed formations
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +11 | 13 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 12 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +3 | 12 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +9 | 11 | ||
| 5 | 5 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 6 | 5 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 7 | 5 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 8 | 5 | +1 | 8 | ||
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 11 | 5 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 12 | 5 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 13 | 5 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 14 | 5 | -4 | 6 | ||
| 15 | 5 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 16 | 5 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 5 | -5 | 4 | ||
| 18 | 5 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 5 | -6 | 2 | ||
| 20 | 5 | -12 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 13 | |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 12 | |
| 3 | Kashima | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 12 | |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | |
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 | |
| 8 | FC Tokyo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 8 | |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | Kawasaki Frontale | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 | |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | |
| 14 | Urawa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 | |
| 15 | Kyoto Sanga | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | |
| 16 | Shimizu S-pulse | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | V-varen Nagasaki | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 | |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 0 |