Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua Prediction - September 5, 2026

Liga NacionalHondurasFull time
Atletico Independiente
0:0
CD Motagua
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.36Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.06price rising, opened at 3.71
Draw3.40price falling, opened at 3.50
Away1.78price falling, opened at 1.83

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21price rising, opened at 1.19
Under 1.53.58price falling, opened at 3.76
Over 2.51.77price rising, opened at 1.74
Under 2.51.92price falling, opened at 1.96
Over 3.52.88price rising, opened at 2.83
Under 3.51.32price falling, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes1.67price rising, opened at 1.64
No2.04price falling, opened at 2.08
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.78price falling, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +0.751.66price rising, opened at 1.64
Away -0.751.99price falling, opened at 2.09

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CD Motagua are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Atletico Independiente and CD Motagua average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.4%Projected
  2. 0-19.8%Alternative
  3. 1-29.6%
  4. 0-28.3%
  5. 1-06.8%

Top five combined: 45.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtletico IndependientexG1.16
AwayCD MotaguaxG1.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.9%
6.8%
3.9%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.8%
11%
6.6%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
2
8.3%
9.6%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
3
4.6%
5.4%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.9%
2.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.7%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.8%44.2% No
Over 1.5 77.5%22.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.0%46.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.7%68.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atletico Independiente win and over 2.5 goals15.6%
Atletico Independiente win and both teams score13.5%
CD Motagua win and over 2.5 goals31.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Atletico Independiente or draw50.5%
CD Motagua or draw73.7%
Either team wins75.9%
Draw no bet: Atletico Independiente34.7%
Draw no bet: CD Motagua65.3%
Atletico Independiente win to nil12.8%
CD Motagua win to nil25.5%
Team goals
Atletico Independiente to score68.6%
CD Motagua to score81.4%
Atletico Independiente over 1.5 goals32.2%
CD Motagua over 1.5 goals50.0%
Atletico Independiente clean sheet18.6%
CD Motagua clean sheet31.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Atletico Independiente vs CD Motagua
League Table

League Table

Liga NacionalHonduras · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16420113+814
16420156+914
26312107+310
26420113+814
3623154+19
3521275+27
462221112-18
4613256-16
55104412-83
5611447-34
66114414-104
66024412-82
Liga Nacional - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CD Marathon6420113814
1CD Olimpia6420156914W
2CD Motagua6312107310W
2Real Espana6420113814W
3Olancho62315419W
3Génesis52127527W
4Estrella Roja62221112-18L
4Atletico Independiente613256-16
5Juticalpa5104412-83L
5Atlético Choloma611447-34L
6Platense FC6114414-104L
6Lobos Upnfm6024412-82L