Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa Prediction - September 5, 2026

Stars LeagueQatarFull time
Al Sadd
4:1
Al-Gharafa
Projected scoreOur pick
3-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.42price falling, opened at 1.44
Draw5.00price rising, opened at 4.60
Away5.25price rising, opened at 4.70

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 2.51.21price falling, opened at 1.25
Under 2.53.66price rising, opened at 3.12
Over 3.51.61price falling, opened at 1.69
Under 3.52.10price rising, opened at 1.88
Both teams to score
Yes1.34price rising, opened at 1.33
No2.73price rising, opened at 2.70
First to score
Home1.34price falling, opened at 1.39
No goal32.00price rising, opened at 25.00
Away2.80price rising, opened at 2.60
Handicap
Home -1.251.78price falling, opened at 1.87
Away +1.251.86price rising, opened at 1.70

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa?

The model's leading scoreline is 3 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Al Sadd are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Al Sadd and Al-Gharafa average 6.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 3-16.1%Projected
  2. 3-26.0%
  3. 2-15.4%
  4. 2-25.3%Alternative
  5. 4-15.1%

Top five combined: 27.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAl SaddxG3.34
AwayAl-GharafaxG1.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.5%
1.7%
2.8%
3.1%
2.6%
1.7%
1.7%
1
1.0%
3.3%
5.4%
6.1%
5.1%
3.4%
3.4%
2
1.0%
3.2%
5.3%
6.0%
5.0%
3.3%
3.3%
3
0.6%
2.1%
3.5%
3.9%
3.3%
2.2%
2.2%
4
0.3%
1.0%
1.7%
1.9%
1.6%
1.1%
1.1%
5
0.1%
0.4%
0.7%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.4%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 82.9%17.1% No
Over 1.5 96.9%3.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 89.9%10.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 77.5%22.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Al Sadd win and over 2.5 goals60.2%
Al Sadd win and both teams score51.1%
Al-Gharafa win and over 2.5 goals18.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals3.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Al Sadd or draw79.8%
Al-Gharafa or draw35.2%
Either team wins85.0%
Draw no bet: Al Sadd76.3%
Draw no bet: Al-Gharafa23.7%
Al Sadd win to nil13.6%
Al-Gharafa win to nil3.0%
Team goals
Al Sadd to score96.5%
Al-Gharafa to score85.9%
Al Sadd over 1.5 goals84.7%
Al-Gharafa over 1.5 goals58.3%
Al Sadd clean sheet14.1%
Al-Gharafa clean sheet3.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Head to Head

Head to Head

Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 1, 2026Al Sadd2 - 1Al-Gharafa
May 9, 2026Al-Gharafa4 - 1Al Sadd
January 31, 2026Al-Gharafa1 - 3Al Sadd
September 1, 2025Al-Gharafa3 - 3Al Sadd
August 28, 2025Al Sadd2 - 0Al-Gharafa
League Table

League Table

Stars LeagueQatar · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13300134+99
24220106+48
3321042+27
4312053+25
5312042+25
6311174+34
7311156-14
8310268-23
9310248-43
10402249-52
11301249-51
12300327-50
Champions LeagueRelegation
Stars League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Sadd330013499
2Al Shamal422010648
3Al-Rayyan SC32104227
4Al-Arabi SC31205325
5Al-Duhail SC31204225
6Lusail City31117434
7Al Ahli Doha311156-14
8Al Shahaniya310268-23
9Al-Gharafa310248-43
10Al Wakrah402249-52
11Qatar SC301249-51
12Al-Sailiya300327-50