Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction - September 5, 2026

PremiershipScotlandFull time
Aberdeen
0:0
Kilmarnock
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.48Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.69price falling, opened at 1.74
Draw3.88price rising, opened at 3.84
Away4.64price rising, opened at 4.30

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price falling, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.30price rising, opened at 4.20
Over 2.51.65price falling, opened at 1.67
Under 2.52.19price rising, opened at 2.17
Over 3.52.51price falling, opened at 2.54
Under 3.51.42price rising, opened at 1.41
Both teams to score
Yes1.61
No2.17price falling, opened at 2.18
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.751.81price falling, opened at 1.87
Away +0.751.85price rising, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Aberdeen and Kilmarnock average 1.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.3%Projected
  2. 1-19.2%Alternative
  3. 2-26.6%
  4. 2-06.6%
  5. 1-26.5%

Top five combined: 38.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAberdeenxG2.02
AwayKilmarnockxG1.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
6.5%
6.6%
4.4%
2.2%
0.9%
0.4%
1
4.6%
9.2%
9.3%
6.3%
3.2%
1.3%
0.6%
2
3.2%
6.5%
6.6%
4.4%
2.2%
0.9%
0.4%
3
1.5%
3.1%
3.1%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.5%
1.1%
1.1%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.7%34.3% No
Over 1.5 85.7%14.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 66.7%33.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 45.0%55.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Aberdeen win and over 2.5 goals38.6%
Aberdeen win and both teams score30.6%
Kilmarnock win and over 2.5 goals19.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Aberdeen or draw73.2%
Kilmarnock or draw48.4%
Either team wins78.5%
Draw no bet: Aberdeen65.8%
Draw no bet: Kilmarnock34.2%
Aberdeen win to nil21.1%
Kilmarnock win to nil10.0%
Team goals
Aberdeen to score86.8%
Kilmarnock to score75.7%
Aberdeen over 1.5 goals60.0%
Kilmarnock over 1.5 goals41.3%
Aberdeen clean sheet24.3%
Kilmarnock clean sheet13.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Team news

Expected formations

Kilmarnock: 4-3-1-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
Head to Head

Head to Head

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 25, 2026Aberdeen1 - 0Kilmarnock
January 31, 2026Kilmarnock3 - 0Aberdeen
December 14, 2025Aberdeen2 - 1Kilmarnock
October 29, 2025Kilmarnock0 - 1Aberdeen
League Table

League Table

PremiershipScotland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15500133+1015
25401125+712
3531185+310
4531164+210
5522185+38
6621376+17
710101101
752128807
8520379-26
96123611-55
10511327-54
11502337-42
125014414-101
Relegation
Premiership - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Celtic55001331015W
2Heart Of Midlothian5401125712L
3ST Mirren531185310W
4Rangers531164210
5Motherwell52218538W
6Dundee62137617L
7Rangers10101101D
7ST Johnstone52128807W
8Hibernian520379-26L
9Dundee Utd6123611-55D
10Aberdeen511327-54W
11Falkirk502337-42L
12Kilmarnock5014414-101L