VfB Stuttgart vs FC Koln Prediction - September 4, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.98Lost
What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs FC Koln?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Koln are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
At 1.98, a price that only needs about 51 percent to break even, Under 3.5 goals is Superior's number in Stuttgart vs Koln on 4 September, and the model itself is more confident still at 61 percent. Neither side's recent scoring points at a high-event afternoon.
Stuttgart's attack rating is the highest number in this match
Stuttgart's attack rates a healthy 6.9 out of 10, with their own defence close behind at 6.5, numbers that suggest control rather than an end-to-end game even at home. Koln have scored in every one of their last three matches (3-2, 2-1, 2-1), but never more than three goals in a single game across that run, which fits a total nearer three than four or five.
Stuttgart have already leaked five goals once this run
The one blot on Stuttgart's own last five is a 1-5 defeat, and if their defense has another night like that while Koln's scoring streak continues, four or more total goals is well within reach. A repeat 3-2 for Koln alone, added to two Stuttgart goals, is the kind of split that beats this line; anything from a 2-2 to a 4-1 does the same.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
Unlocked after full timePost match archive
Grade: LOST
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 2-19.6%Projected
- 1-18.8%Alternative
- 2-07.4%
- 3-16.9%
- 1-06.9%
Top five combined: 39.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
See the ticketTeam news
Expected formations
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 1 | +3 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 1 | +3 | 3 | ||
| 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 | ||
| 5 | 1 | +2 | 3 | ||
| 6 | 1 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 7 | 1 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 12 | 1 | -1 | 0 | ||
| 13 | 1 | -1 | 0 | ||
| 14 | 1 | -2 | 0 | ||
| 15 | 1 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 16 | 1 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 17 | 1 | -3 | 0 | ||
| 18 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | |
| 2 | SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| 3 | FC Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 5 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 6 | SV Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 7 | FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 | SC Paderborn 07 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | |
| 16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | |
| 18 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |