União Santarém vs Caldas Prediction - September 4, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
União Santarém
0:1
Caldas
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.19price rising, opened at 1.95
Draw3.40price rising, opened at 3.39
Away3.14price falling, opened at 3.82

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price falling, opened at 1.45
Under 1.53.00price rising, opened at 2.63
Over 2.52.21price falling, opened at 2.31
Under 2.51.67price rising, opened at 1.57
Over 3.53.71price falling, opened at 3.98
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes2.02price falling, opened at 2.21
No1.74price rising, opened at 1.62
Odd/Even
Odd1.93
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.68
Away +0.251.90price falling, opened at 2.12

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Caldas?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Caldas are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • União Santarém and Caldas average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.9%Projected
  2. 1-113.3%Alternative
  3. 0-011.7%
  4. 0-111.3%
  5. 2-08.2%

Top five combined: 58.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUnião SantarémxG1.18
AwayCaldasxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
14%
8.2%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
11%
13%
7.9%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
5.4%
6.4%
3.8%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.7%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.8%57.2% No
Over 1.5 63.1%36.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 36.2%63.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.9%83.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

União Santarém win and over 2.5 goals18.8%
União Santarém win and both teams score14.4%
Caldas win and over 2.5 goals13.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
União Santarém or draw70.2%
Caldas or draw59.1%
Either team wins70.6%
Draw no bet: União Santarém57.9%
Draw no bet: Caldas42.1%
União Santarém win to nil26.5%
Caldas win to nil19.0%
Team goals
União Santarém to score69.3%
Caldas to score61.8%
União Santarém over 1.5 goals33.0%
Caldas over 1.5 goals25.0%
União Santarém clean sheet38.2%
Caldas clean sheet30.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: União Santarém vs Caldas
Head to Head

Head to Head

União Santarém vs Caldas: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
December 19, 2025Caldas0 - 2União Santarém
September 24, 2025União Santarém0 - 1Caldas
April 12, 2025Caldas0 - 1União Santarém
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81