Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.20Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.55

Draw3.42

Away2.35

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.16

Under 1.54.15

Over 2.51.63

Under 2.52.14

Over 3.52.49

Under 3.51.42

Both teams to score

Yes1.52

No2.34

Odd/Even

Odd1.84

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +01.90

Away +01.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 1, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Warta Poznań average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-111.5%Projected
2-19.3%Alternative
1-09.1%
2-07.3%
1-27.2%

Top five combined: 44.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePogoń Grod. MazowieckixG1.62

AwayWarta PoznańxG1.26

5.6%

9.1%

7.3%

4.0%

1.6%

0.5%

0.2%

7.1%

11%

9.3%

5.0%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

4.5%

7.2%

5.9%

3.2%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

1.9%

3.1%

2.5%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.6%

1.0%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.5%42.5% No

Over 1.5 78.3%21.7% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 55.0%45.0% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 32.6%67.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win and over 2.5 goals29.3%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win and both teams score23.0%

Warta Poznań win and over 2.5 goals18.3%

Draw and under 2.5 goals17.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw70.1%

Warta Poznań or draw54.3%

Either team wins75.6%

Draw no bet: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki60.4%

Draw no bet: Warta Poznań39.6%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win to nil22.7%

Warta Poznań win to nil14.2%

Team goals

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score80.2%

Warta Poznań to score71.7%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over 1.5 goals48.1%

Warta Poznań over 1.5 goals36.0%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki clean sheet28.3%

Warta Poznań clean sheet19.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań

League Table

I LigaPoland · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Miedz Legnica	6	4	1	1	10	3	+7	13
2	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	6	3	3	0	10	5	+5	12
3	ŁKS Łódź	6	3	2	1	10	5	+5	11
4	Chrobry Głogów	6	3	1	2	10	5	+5	10
5	Arka Gdynia	6	3	1	2	9	5	+4	10
6	Polonia Warszawa	6	3	1	2	10	8	+2	10
7	Warta Poznań	6	3	0	3	11	10	+1	9
8	Pogoń Siedlce	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
9	Odra Opole	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8
10	Stal Mielec	6	2	2	2	11	13	-2	8
11	Nieciecza	6	2	1	3	9	10	-1	7
12	Lechia Gdansk	6	2	1	3	7	11	-4	7
12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2
13	Ruch Chorzów	6	2	1	3	3	7	-4	7
14	Puszcza Niepołomice	6	2	0	4	5	7	-2	6
15	Polonia Bytom	6	1	3	2	12	15	-3	6
16	Unia Skierniewice	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6
17	Podbeskidzie	6	0	5	1	8	10	-2	5
18	Stal Rzeszów	6	1	2	3	4	12	-8	5

Relegation

I Liga - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Miedz Legnica	6	4	1	1	10	3	7	13	WD
2	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	6	3	3	0	10	5	5	12	WW
3	ŁKS Łódź	6	3	2	1	10	5	5	11	WD
4	Chrobry Głogów	6	3	1	2	10	5	5	10	LW
5	Arka Gdynia	6	3	1	2	9	5	4	10	WW
6	Polonia Warszawa	6	3	1	2	10	8	2	10	WW
7	Warta Poznań	6	3	0	3	11	10	1	9	WL
8	Pogoń Siedlce	6	2	2	2	7	6	1	8	LD
9	Odra Opole	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8	WL
10	Stal Mielec	6	2	2	2	11	13	-2	8	DW
11	Nieciecza	6	2	1	3	9	10	-1	7	WW
12	Lechia Gdansk	6	2	1	3	7	11	-4	7	LL
12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2
13	Ruch Chorzów	6	2	1	3	3	7	-4	7	LL
14	Puszcza Niepołomice	6	2	0	4	5	7	-2	6	LL
15	Polonia Bytom	6	1	3	2	12	15	-3	6	LW
16	Unia Skierniewice	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6	LL
17	Podbeskidzie	6	0	5	1	8	10	-2	5	DD
18	Stal Rzeszów	6	1	2	3	4	12	-8	5	LL

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań Prediction - September 4, 2026

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What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?

Why this prediction

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Scoreline Depth

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Correlated combos

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