NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Prediction - September 4, 2026

HNLCroatiaFull time
NK Varazdin
0:0
Istra 1961
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.79price rising, opened at 1.77
Draw3.62price falling, opened at 3.90
Away4.18price rising, opened at 4.16

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price rising, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.00price falling, opened at 4.30
Over 2.51.66price rising, opened at 1.62
Under 2.52.16price falling, opened at 2.20
Over 3.52.46price rising, opened at 2.45
Under 3.51.43price falling, opened at 1.48
Both teams to score
Yes1.60price falling, opened at 1.62
No2.19
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price falling, opened at 1.96
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -0.751.91price rising, opened at 1.90
Away +0.751.73price falling, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: NK Varazdin are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

NK Varazdin have won four of their last five games, form that has Superior backing them not to lose on the Asian Handicap in NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 on 4 September, priced at 1.21 with the model only 50 percent confident, the least certain football pick of the day. Istra have conceded two or more goals in three of their own last five.

Varazdin have won four of their last five games

Outside of a single 1-3 defeat, Varazdin have strung together four wins including a 4-1, a side finding results at home consistently. Istra have shipped two or more goals in three of their own last five matches, a defense that has struggled on its travels, support for a home side that at worst draws this one.

Istra have won three of the last five meetings between these sides

The head-to-head record actually favours the visitors: Istra have won three of the last five meetings, with Varazdin winning only once. If that history repeats instead of Varazdin's current form, an away win is the one way this pick loses outright, and a 50 percent model rating, the lowest of the day, reflects exactly how live that possibility is.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-17.8%Projected
  2. 3-16.8%
  3. 2-26.6%Alternative
  4. 1-16.0%
  5. 3-25.7%

Top five combined: 32.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNK VarazdinxG2.60
AwayIstra 1961xG1.70
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.4%
3.5%
4.6%
4.0%
2.6%
1.3%
0.9%
1
2.3%
6.0%
7.8%
6.8%
4.4%
2.3%
1.5%
2
2.0%
5.1%
6.6%
5.7%
3.7%
1.9%
1.3%
3
1.1%
2.9%
3.7%
3.2%
2.1%
1.1%
0.7%
4
0.5%
1.2%
1.6%
1.4%
0.9%
0.5%
0.3%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 75.6%24.4% No
Over 1.5 92.8%7.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 80.2%19.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 62.2%37.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

NK Varazdin win and over 2.5 goals49.1%
NK Varazdin win and both teams score40.3%
Istra 1961 win and over 2.5 goals20.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals7.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
NK Varazdin or draw75.6%
Istra 1961 or draw42.7%
Either team wins81.7%
Draw no bet: NK Varazdin70.1%
Draw no bet: Istra 196129.9%
NK Varazdin win to nil17.0%
Istra 1961 win to nil6.1%
Team goals
NK Varazdin to score92.6%
Istra 1961 to score81.7%
NK Varazdin over 1.5 goals73.2%
Istra 1961 over 1.5 goals50.5%
NK Varazdin clean sheet18.3%
Istra 1961 clean sheet7.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.83

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Team news

Expected formations

NK Varazdin: 4-2-3-1(predicted)Istra 1961: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961
Head to Head

Head to Head

NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 23, 2026NK Varazdin2 - 0Istra 1961
March 20, 2026Istra 19612 - 1NK Varazdin
December 19, 2025NK Varazdin1 - 3Istra 1961
October 3, 2025Istra 19611 - 0NK Varazdin
May 11, 2025Istra 19610 - 0NK Varazdin
League Table

League Table

HNLCroatia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
175021711+615
26411155+1013
36411147+713
3110032+13
46411115+613
56321107+311
67214913-47
761321110+16
86204513-86
96105619-133
106015210-81
HNL - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1NK Osijek75021711615
2HNK Hajduk Split64111551013
3Dinamo Zagreb6411147713
3NK Lokomotiva11003213
4NK Varazdin6411115613
5HNK Rijeka6321107311
6NK Lokomotiva Zagreb7214913-47
7Istra 19616132111016
8NK Slaven Belupo6204513-86
9Rudes6105619-133
10HNK Gorica6015210-81