New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.25Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.81

Draw3.78

Away2.32

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.23

Under 1.53.73

Over 2.51.79

Under 2.52.02

Over 3.52.83

Under 3.51.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.61

No2.18

Odd/Even

Odd1.86

Even1.85

Handicap

Home -0.252.02

Away +0.251.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Nashville SC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 1, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Major League Soccer: New York City FC vs Nashville SCMajor League SoccerUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

Nashville are chasing the MLS title and scoring 2.6 goals a game on the road, numbers behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick in New York City FC vs Nashville SC on 4 September, priced at 1.25 with the model 62 percent confident. NYCFC add 1.2 goals a game of their own.

Nashville are scoring 2.6 goals a game while chasing the title

Nashville have won three of their last five, including a 4-0 and a 4-1, and their 2.6 goals a game leads this match's numbers by some distance. NYCFC add 1.2 of their own, and with nothing at stake beyond mid-table for the home side, there is little reason to expect either attack to be reined in.

Neither side has been held below two goals in any recent meeting

The only way this loses is a 0-0 or a 1-0, and neither has happened in any of NYCFC's or Nashville's last five games, nor in any of their three head-to-head meetings, which have produced three, three and four goals. That clean a recent record is also exactly why the odds on this pick are so short, and a first blank in months would be the surprise that beats it.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-110.6%Projected
1-29.0%Alternative
2-17.7%
0-17.3%
2-26.5%

Top five combined: 41.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNew York City FCxG1.45

AwayNashville SCxG1.70

4.3%

6.2%

4.5%

2.2%

0.8%

0.2%

0.1%

7.3%

11%

7.7%

3.7%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

6.2%

9.0%

6.5%

3.1%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

3.5%

5.1%

3.7%

1.8%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

1.5%

2.2%

1.6%

0.8%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.5%

0.7%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 62.6%37.4% No

Over 1.5 82.2%17.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 60.9%39.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 38.6%61.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

New York City FC win and over 2.5 goals22.2%

New York City FC win and both teams score19.0%

Nashville SC win and over 2.5 goals30.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals14.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

New York City FC or draw56.4%

Nashville SC or draw67.0%

Either team wins76.6%

Draw no bet: New York City FC43.1%

Draw no bet: Nashville SC56.9%

New York City FC win to nil14.0%

Nashville SC win to nil19.1%

Team goals

New York City FC to score76.6%

Nashville SC to score81.7%

New York City FC over 1.5 goals42.6%

Nashville SC over 1.5 goals50.6%

New York City FC clean sheet18.3%

Nashville SC clean sheet23.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Nashville SC: 4-4-2(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: New York City FC vs Nashville SC

Head to Head

New York City FC vs Nashville SC: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 24, 2026	Nashville SC	2 - 1	New York City FC
August 17, 2025	New York City FC	2 - 1	Nashville SC
May 31, 2025	Nashville SC	2 - 2	New York City FC

League Table

Major League SoccerUSA · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	22	13	4	5	49	21	+28	43
1	Nashville SC	24	17	5	2	48	17	+31	56
2	Houston Dynamo	23	12	4	7	30	26	+4	40
2	Inter Miami	23	12	7	4	58	43	+15	43
3	Chicago Fire	22	11	5	6	43	32	+11	38
3	Los Angeles FC	24	10	7	7	38	24	+14	37
4	FC Dallas	23	10	7	6	45	40	+5	37
4	Charlotte	24	10	7	7	40	32	+8	37
5	New England Revolution	23	11	4	8	37	29	+8	37
5	St. Louis City	23	10	7	6	36	31	+5	37
6	San Jose Earthquakes	23	10	5	8	40	34	+6	35
6	FC Cincinnati	23	8	8	7	49	51	-2	32
7	New York City FC	23	7	8	8	36	31	+5	29
7	Portland Timbers	23	9	4	10	44	43	+1	31
8	Philadelphia Union	24	7	7	10	36	39	-3	28
8	Colorado Rapids	23	10	1	12	31	31	0	31
9	Orlando City SC	24	8	4	12	38	55	-17	28
9	San Diego	23	8	6	9	40	34	+6	30
10	New York Red Bulls	23	7	6	10	32	46	-14	27
10	Real Salt Lake	22	8	5	9	36	35	+1	29
11	Toronto FC	24	5	11	8	36	43	-7	26
11	Minnesota United FC	23	7	8	8	34	37	-3	29
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	24	7	8	9	30	36	-6	29
12	DC United	23	5	11	7	28	36	-8	26
13	Seattle Sounders	22	7	6	9	24	29	-5	27
13	Atlanta United FC	24	7	4	13	28	40	-12	25
14	Columbus Crew	24	6	6	12	34	39	-5	24
14	Austin	23	6	7	10	29	42	-13	25
15	Sporting Kansas City	23	4	3	16	23	58	-35	15
15	CF Montreal	24	5	7	12	30	48	-18	22

Major League Soccer - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	22	13	4	5	49	21	28	43	DDLWL
1	Nashville SC	24	17	5	2	48	17	31	56	DLWWW
2	Houston Dynamo	23	12	4	7	30	26	4	40	WWDDW
2	Inter Miami	23	12	7	4	58	43	15	43	DWWWW
3	Chicago Fire	22	11	5	6	43	32	11	38	WLLWW
3	Los Angeles FC	24	10	7	7	38	24	14	37	DWWWW
4	FC Dallas	23	10	7	6	45	40	5	37	DLDWW
4	Charlotte	24	10	7	7	40	32	8	37	LWDWW
5	New England Revolution	23	11	4	8	37	29	8	37	DWDLW
5	St. Louis City	23	10	7	6	36	31	5	37	DWWWW
6	San Jose Earthquakes	23	10	5	8	40	34	6	35	LDLWL
6	FC Cincinnati	23	8	8	7	49	51	-2	32	WLWWD
7	New York City FC	23	7	8	8	36	31	5	29	DWWLD
7	Portland Timbers	23	9	4	10	44	43	1	31	WWDWL
8	Philadelphia Union	24	7	7	10	36	39	-3	28	WWWLD
8	Colorado Rapids	23	10	1	12	31	31	0	31	WLWLL
9	Orlando City SC	24	8	4	12	38	55	-17	28	LWWLD
9	San Diego	23	8	6	9	40	34	6	30	DWLLD
10	New York Red Bulls	23	7	6	10	32	46	-14	27	WLLWD
10	Real Salt Lake	22	8	5	9	36	35	1	29	DLLDW
11	Toronto FC	24	5	11	8	36	43	-7	26	DLDDL
11	Minnesota United FC	23	7	8	8	34	37	-3	29	DDLDL
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	24	7	8	9	30	36	-6	29	DDLLD
12	DC United	23	5	11	7	28	36	-8	26	DWDDD
13	Seattle Sounders	22	7	6	9	24	29	-5	27	LLLLL
13	Atlanta United FC	24	7	4	13	28	40	-12	25	LLDLL
14	Columbus Crew	24	6	6	12	34	39	-5	24	DWLWD
14	Austin	23	6	7	10	29	42	-13	25	LLWLL
15	Sporting Kansas City	23	4	3	16	23	58	-35	15	LLWLL
15	CF Montreal	24	5	7	12	30	48	-18	22	DLLDD

New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction - September 4, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?

Match highlights

Match analysis

Nashville are scoring 2.6 goals a game while chasing the title

Neither side has been held below two goals in any recent meeting

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Premium

Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table

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