Genoa vs Como Prediction - September 4, 2026

Serie AItalyFull time
Genoa
1:4
Como
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.24Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home5.95price rising, opened at 5.15
Draw3.58price rising, opened at 3.22
Away1.65price falling, opened at 1.82

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30price falling, opened at 1.40
Under 1.53.48price rising, opened at 2.70
Over 2.52.06price falling, opened at 2.33
Under 2.51.76price rising, opened at 1.61
Over 3.53.34price falling, opened at 4.20
Under 3.51.32price rising, opened at 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes1.90price falling, opened at 2.09
No1.90price rising, opened at 1.68
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price falling, opened at 1.94
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.77
Handicap
Home +0.751.98price rising, opened at 1.76
Away -0.751.82price falling, opened at 2.06

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Genoa vs Como?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Como are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Genoa have managed one goal or fewer in three of their last five games, a big part of why Superior backs Under 3.5 goals when they host Como on 4 September at 1.24. The model rates the pick 60 percent likely, with both sides' scoring rates summing to just 3.0 a game.

Genoa have been held to one goal or fewer in four of five

Genoa's own scoring has been thin: three of their last five games produced a single goal or none for them, including back to back 0-1 defeats. Como have been the livelier side going forward, scoring in four of their own last five and putting three or four past their opponents twice in that span, a scoring rate double Genoa's own 1.0 goals a game.

Como have already scored four in one of their last five

Como's own run includes a 4-1 win, proof their attack can turn a game into a genuine goal-fest when it clicks. If that version of Como turns up and Genoa's defense has another 0-2 or 1-3 kind of night, four total goals arrives quickly and beats this line; the model is pricing the quieter Como, including their own scoreless draw, as the more likely version to show up here.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-112.8%Projected
  2. 1-111.9%Alternative
  3. 0-210.2%
  4. 1-29.5%
  5. 0-08.1%

Top five combined: 52.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGenoaxG0.93
AwayComoxG1.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.1%
7.5%
3.5%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
1
13%
12%
5.5%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
2
10%
9.5%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
5.4%
5.0%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
2.2%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.1%51.9% No
Over 1.5 71.6%28.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.1%53.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.6%75.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Genoa win and over 2.5 goals11.0%
Genoa win and both teams score9.6%
Como win and over 2.5 goals29.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Genoa or draw47.0%
Como or draw78.1%
Either team wins74.9%
Draw no bet: Genoa29.3%
Draw no bet: Como70.7%
Genoa win to nil12.3%
Como win to nil31.5%
Team goals
Genoa to score60.4%
Como to score79.6%
Genoa over 1.5 goals23.7%
Como over 1.5 goals47.2%
Genoa clean sheet20.4%
Como clean sheet39.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Genoa vs Como
Head to Head

Head to Head

Genoa vs Como: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 26, 2026Genoa0 - 2Como
September 15, 2025Como1 - 1Genoa
April 27, 2025Como1 - 0Genoa
League Table

League Table

Serie AItaly · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13300101+99
2330083+59
3330041+39
4321073+47
5321052+37
6321041+37
7320163+36
8320143+16
9320121+16
1031115504
1131115504
1231025503
13310245-13
14310225-33
15301224-21
16301214-31
17301248-41
18300327-50
19300317-60
20300319-80
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1AS Roma330010199
2Inter33008359
3Lazio33004139
4Como32107347
5AC Milan32105237
6Juventus32104137
7Frosinone32016336
8Atalanta32014316
9Cagliari32012116
10Sassuolo31115504
11Udinese31115504
12Napoli31025503
13Torino310245-13
14Lecce310225-33
15Bologna301224-21
16Parma301214-31
17Monza301248-41
18Venezia300327-50
19Genoa300317-60
20Fiorentina300319-80