Bandeirante SP vs União São João Prediction - September 4, 2026

Copa PaulistaBrazilFull time
Bandeirante SP
3:1
União São João
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.22Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.85price rising, opened at 2.07
Draw3.38price rising, opened at 3.28
Away2.37price falling, opened at 3.19

Market move since Sep 4. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.34
Under 1.52.75price falling, opened at 2.78
Over 2.52.22price rising, opened at 2.14
Under 2.51.62price rising, opened at 1.61
Over 3.54.23price rising, opened at 3.96
Under 3.51.20price rising, opened at 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes2.02price rising, opened at 1.87
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.80
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.80
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +0.251.78
Away -0.252.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Bandeirante SP vs União São João?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Bandeirante SP are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Bandeirante SP and União São João average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.5%Projected
  2. 1-012.3%Alternative
  3. 2-19.1%
  4. 2-09.0%
  5. 0-18.6%

Top five combined: 51.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBandeirante SPxG1.45
AwayUnião São JoãoxG1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.5%
12%
9.0%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.6%
13%
9.1%
4.4%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
4.4%
6.3%
4.6%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
1.5%
2.1%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.8%51.2% No
Over 1.5 70.6%29.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 44.8%55.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 23.5%76.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Bandeirante SP win and over 2.5 goals25.9%
Bandeirante SP win and both teams score19.4%
União São João win and over 2.5 goals13.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Bandeirante SP or draw73.7%
União São João or draw52.8%
Either team wins73.6%
Draw no bet: Bandeirante SP64.2%
Draw no bet: União São João35.8%
Bandeirante SP win to nil27.8%
União São João win to nil14.9%
Team goals
Bandeirante SP to score76.6%
União São João to score63.7%
Bandeirante SP over 1.5 goals42.6%
União São João over 1.5 goals26.9%
Bandeirante SP clean sheet36.3%
União São João clean sheet23.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Bandeirante SP vs União São João
Head to Head

Head to Head

Bandeirante SP vs União São João: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 29, 2026Bandeirante SP3 - 0União São João
February 7, 2026União São João3 - 1Bandeirante SP