Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo Prediction - September 4, 2026

Primera División - AperturaUruguayFull time
Atletico Torque
2:1
Cerro Largo
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.43price falling, opened at 1.67
Draw3.90price rising, opened at 3.52
Away6.93price rising, opened at 4.63

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price falling, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.20price rising, opened at 3.05
Over 2.51.93price falling, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.78price rising, opened at 1.71
Over 3.53.28price falling, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes2.05price rising, opened at 1.92
No1.67price falling, opened at 1.77
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -11.78
Away +11.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Atletico Torque are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Atletico Torque and Cerro Largo average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.5%Projected
  2. 1-010.3%Alternative
  3. 2-19.9%
  4. 2-09.7%
  5. 3-16.2%

Top five combined: 46.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtletico TorquexG1.89
AwayCerro LargoxG1.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.4%
10%
9.7%
6.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.5%
1
5.6%
11%
9.9%
6.2%
2.9%
1.1%
0.5%
2
2.9%
5.4%
5.1%
3.2%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
3
1.0%
1.8%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.4%45.6% No
Over 1.5 78.7%21.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.6%44.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.3%66.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atletico Torque win and over 2.5 goals37.6%
Atletico Torque win and both teams score27.1%
Cerro Largo win and over 2.5 goals11.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Atletico Torque or draw79.8%
Cerro Largo or draw42.5%
Either team wins77.7%
Draw no bet: Atletico Torque74.0%
Draw no bet: Cerro Largo26.0%
Atletico Torque win to nil30.5%
Cerro Largo win to nil9.7%
Team goals
Atletico Torque to score84.8%
Cerro Largo to score64.1%
Atletico Torque over 1.5 goals56.2%
Cerro Largo over 1.5 goals27.3%
Atletico Torque clean sheet35.9%
Cerro Largo clean sheet15.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo
Head to Head

Head to Head

Atletico Torque vs Cerro Largo: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 9, 2026Cerro Largo0 - 1Atletico Torque
January 14, 2026Atletico Torque2 - 3Cerro Largo
September 20, 2025Atletico Torque1 - 0Cerro Largo
March 25, 2025Cerro Largo1 - 1Atletico Torque
League Table

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
126131033219+1349
22514563721+1647
32613764026+1446
4158342316+727
42513574229+1344
52612683431+342
626132113733+441
72610973524+1139
826106102932-336
92697103531+434
102688102728-132
112686122935-630
122686122534-930
1326610102129-828
142675141840-2226
1526412102232-1024
162654171938-1919
Primera División - Apertura - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Racing Montevideo261310332191349WLDDD
2Peñarol Montevideo25145637211647
3Deportivo Maldonado26137640261446DLDWW
4Penarol158342316727WWDWL
4Atletico Torque25135742291344LWWLW
5Wanderers2612683431342WWWDW
6Club Nacional26132113733441LDWLW
7Liverpool Montevideo26109735241139DWLDW
8Central Espanol26106102932-336DLDDW
9Albion FC2697103531434DLDWL
10Cerro Largo2688102728-132LWDDW
11Juventud2686122935-630DWLDL
12Boston River2686122534-930LLDDL
13Defensor Sporting26610102129-828LDDDL
14Cerro2675141840-2226WWLLW
15Danubio26412102232-1024DLDDD
16Progreso2654171938-1919WLLWL