Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli Prediction - September 4, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Over 1.51.22Won
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Arminia Bielefeld are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
A 7.6 out of 10 attack rating, the highest single number in this match, has Superior projecting a 2-1 home win for Arminia Bielefeld against FC St. Pauli on 4 September, with 1-1 rated the next most likely score. St. Pauli's own defence rates a more modest 6.2.
Bielefeld's attack rating is the highest number in this match
At 7.6 out of 10, Bielefeld's attack rating outstrips every other figure in this game, including St. Pauli's own 6.5 attack and 6.2 defence marks. Bielefeld's own defence also rates a solid 6.5, rounding out a side that grades out ahead of St. Pauli on both sides of the ball, support for the model's projected home win even before recent form is added in.
St. Pauli have not lost by more than a single goal in five games
St. Pauli's own last five reads two losses, two draws and a win, but never by more than a single goal in the losses, a side that keeps games tight rather than getting blown out. If that discipline holds again here, a repeat of one of those 1-2 defeats or a 1-1 draw undercuts the model's 2-1 projection, and a tighter final score is a live alternative to what's projected.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 2-18.6%Projected
- 3-17.8%
- 2-06.6%
- 1-16.4%Alternative
- 3-05.9%
Top five combined: 35.3%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 1.73
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League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +8 | 10 | ||
| 2 | 3 | +6 | 9 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 8 | 4 | -2 | 5 | ||
| 9 | 3 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 10 | 4 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 11 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 12 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 13 | 3 | +2 | 3 | ||
| 14 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 15 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 16 | 3 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -5 | 3 | ||
| 18 | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nurnberg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 10 | |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 | |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| 5 | FC Heidenheim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 | |
| 6 | FC Magdeburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 | |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4 | |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | |
| 14 | FC St. Pauli | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | |
| 16 | VfL Osnabrück | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |