Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction - September 4, 2026

Primera DivisionPeruFull time
Alianza Atletico
3:2
UTC Cajamarca
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48price falling, opened at 1.67
Draw4.27price rising, opened at 3.90
Away6.36price rising, opened at 4.57

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price falling, opened at 1.26
Under 1.53.75price rising, opened at 3.40
Over 2.51.89price rising, opened at 1.85
Under 2.51.91price rising, opened at 1.85
Over 3.52.97price falling, opened at 3.10
Under 3.51.36price rising, opened at 1.31
Both teams to score
Yes2.02price rising, opened at 1.84
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.93
Even1.87
Handicap
Home -11.78
Away +12.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Alianza Atletico are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.6%Projected
  2. 2-08.7%
  3. 1-18.2%Alternative
  4. 3-17.6%
  5. 1-07.4%

Top five combined: 41.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlianza AtleticoxG2.36
AwayUTC CajamarcaxG1.10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
7.4%
8.7%
6.9%
4.0%
1.9%
1.1%
1
3.5%
8.2%
9.6%
7.6%
4.5%
2.1%
1.2%
2
1.9%
4.5%
5.3%
4.2%
2.5%
1.2%
0.7%
3
0.7%
1.7%
1.9%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.4%39.6% No
Over 1.5 86.0%14.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.1%32.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 45.4%54.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Alianza Atletico win and over 2.5 goals49.1%
Alianza Atletico win and both teams score35.2%
UTC Cajamarca win and over 2.5 goals10.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Alianza Atletico or draw83.7%
UTC Cajamarca or draw34.7%
Either team wins81.6%
Draw no bet: Alianza Atletico80.0%
Draw no bet: UTC Cajamarca20.0%
Alianza Atletico win to nil30.1%
UTC Cajamarca win to nil6.3%
Team goals
Alianza Atletico to score90.5%
UTC Cajamarca to score66.8%
Alianza Atletico over 1.5 goals68.2%
UTC Cajamarca over 1.5 goals30.1%
Alianza Atletico clean sheet33.2%
UTC Cajamarca clean sheet9.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca
Head to Head

Head to Head

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 25, 2026Alianza Atletico1 - 1UTC Cajamarca
March 22, 2026UTC Cajamarca1 - 1Alianza Atletico
August 11, 2025Alianza Atletico2 - 0UTC
League Table

League Table

Primera DivisionPeru · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12515824116+2553
22513754126+1546
21710432521+434
32513663523+1245
42512674328+1542
52513393836+242
62512583442-841
72512494437+740
82510783731+637
9259792725+234
102595114338+532
11257993435-130
122585122227-529
132585123342-929
13174672126-518
142577113651-1528
152567122335-1225
162566133849-1124
172557132739-1222
182548132945-1615
Primera Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Alianza Lima25158241162553WDWDW
2Universitario25137541261546LWWWD
2Club Deportivo Los Chankas1710432521434WLWDL
3Deportivo Garcilaso25136635231245WWLWD
4FBC Melgar25126743281542DWWWD
5Cusco2513393836242WLWWW
6Cultural Santa Rosa2512583442-841
7Cienciano2512494437740WLLWD
8Alianza Atletico2510783731637LWLLD
9Sport Boys259792725234WWLWD
10Sporting Cristal2595114338532WLWLW
11Comerciantes Unidos257993435-130LDDLD
12Atletico Grau2585122227-529LLWWL
13Sport Huancayo2585123342-929WWLLD
13UTC174672126-518
14Juan Pablo II College2577113651-1528LWDLD
15UCV Moquegua2567122335-1225DDDLD
16FC Cajamarca2566133849-1124LLDDD
17ADT2557132739-1222LLLLL
18UTC Cajamarca2548132945-1615LDLDD