Al-Ahli Saudi vs Al Riyadh Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

2-0

Alternative:1-0

Match Winner: Home1.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.18

Draw7.60

Away13.00

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.15

Under 1.55.45

Over 2.51.53

Under 2.52.50

Over 3.52.31

Under 3.51.62

Both teams to score

Yes2.04

No1.77

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home -1.751.85

Away +1.751.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Saudi vs Al Riyadh?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Al-Ahli Saudi are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 1, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi vs Al Riyadhالدوري السعودي للمحترفين - Saudi Pro LeagueUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

Four wins from five is Al-Ahli Saudi's recent record, and that form has Superior backing them to beat Al Riyadh outright on 4 September, pricing the home win at 1.29 with 57 percent confidence. Al Riyadh's own form across the same stretch has been far more mixed.

Al-Ahli have won four of their last five games

Outside of a single 1-3 defeat, Al-Ahli have strung together four wins, including that 4-0 and back to back 1-0 and 2-1 results, a run that reads like a team in genuine touch heading into this one. Al Riyadh, by contrast, have alternated across their own last five: a 3-3 draw, a 0-4 defeat, a win, another defeat and a narrow 1-0 win, a stop-start pattern that has not settled into anything consistent.

Al Riyadh have already scored three against a stronger defense

Al Riyadh drew 3-3 in one of their last five, proof they can trouble a good defense when their front line clicks. Al-Ahli's opponent this pick expects to see the quieter version of Al Riyadh, the one that lost 0-4 and 2-4 elsewhere in this same run; if the 3-3 version turns up instead, a draw or an Al Riyadh win beats this pick outright.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

2-012.0%Our score
1-010.7%Alternative
2-19.6%
3-09.0%
1-18.6%

Top five combined: 49.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAl-Ahli SaudixG2.24

AwayAl RiyadhxG0.80

4.8%

11%

12%

9.0%

5.0%

2.3%

1.2%

3.8%

8.6%

9.6%

7.2%

4.0%

1.8%

1.0%

1.5%

3.4%

3.8%

2.9%

1.6%

0.7%

0.4%

0.9%

1.0%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.2%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.3%50.7% No

Over 1.5 80.7%19.3% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 58.7%41.3% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 36.3%63.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Al-Ahli Saudi win and over 2.5 goals47.5%

Al-Ahli Saudi win and both teams score30.0%

Al Riyadh win and over 2.5 goals6.5%

Draw and under 2.5 goals13.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Al-Ahli Saudi or draw88.1%

Al Riyadh or draw29.9%

Either team wins82.0%

Draw no bet: Al-Ahli Saudi85.5%

Draw no bet: Al Riyadh14.5%

Al-Ahli Saudi win to nil40.1%

Al Riyadh win to nil5.8%

Team goals

Al-Ahli Saudi to score89.4%

Al Riyadh to score55.1%

Al-Ahli Saudi over 1.5 goals65.6%

Al Riyadh over 1.5 goals19.1%

Al-Ahli Saudi clean sheet44.9%

Al Riyadh clean sheet10.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Expected formations

Al Riyadh: 4-4-2(predicted)

League Table

Pro LeagueSaudi-Arabia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	6	0	1	23	5	+18	18
2	Al-Ittihad FC	7	5	2	0	12	6	+6	17
3	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	5	1	1	16	8	+8	16
4	Al-Nassr	6	5	0	1	15	6	+9	15
5	Al-Ahli Saudi	7	4	0	3	16	10	+6	12
6	Al-Ahli Jeddah	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Al-Hazm	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Al Kholood	6	3	3	0	12	8	+4	12
8	Al-Ettifaq	7	3	2	2	11	11	0	11
9	Al Diriyah	6	3	1	2	7	5	+2	10
10	Al-Hazem	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2	8
11	Al Taawon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Al-Fayha	6	1	2	3	7	11	-4	5
12	Al Riyadh	6	1	2	3	6	16	-10	5
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	6	0	4	2	2	9	-7	4
14	Al Shabab	6	0	3	3	6	11	-5	3
15	Al-Fateh	6	0	3	3	2	7	-5	3
15	NEOM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Al-Faisaly FC	7	0	3	4	5	13	-8	3
17	Al Taawoun FC	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3
18	Abha	6	0	1	5	5	13	-8	1

Champions LeagueRelegation

Pro League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	6	0	1	23	5	18	18
2	Al-Ittihad FC	7	5	2	0	12	6	6	17
3	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	5	1	1	16	8	8	16
4	Al-Nassr	6	5	0	1	15	6	9	15
5	Al-Ahli Saudi	7	4	0	3	16	10	6	12
6	Al-Ahli Jeddah	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Al-Hazm	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Al Kholood	6	3	3	0	12	8	4	12
8	Al-Ettifaq	7	3	2	2	11	11	0	11
9	Al Diriyah	6	3	1	2	7	5	2	10
10	Al-Hazem	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2	8
11	Al Taawon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Al-Fayha	6	1	2	3	7	11	-4	5
12	Al Riyadh	6	1	2	3	6	16	-10	5
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	6	0	4	2	2	9	-7	4
14	Al Shabab	6	0	3	3	6	11	-5	3
15	Al-Fateh	6	0	3	3	2	7	-5	3
15	NEOM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Al-Faisaly FC	7	0	3	4	5	13	-8	3
17	Al Taawoun FC	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3
18	Abha	6	0	1	5	5	13	-8	1