Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction - September 3, 2026

Copa Do BrasilBrazilFull time
Vitoria
0:2
Vasco DA Gama
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.58price rising, opened at 2.25
Draw3.26price rising, opened at 3.23
Away2.77price falling, opened at 3.34

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.46price rising, opened at 1.36
Under 1.52.73price rising, opened at 2.72
Over 2.52.32price rising, opened at 2.31
Under 2.51.61
Over 3.54.64price rising, opened at 4.20
Under 3.51.19price rising, opened at 1.16
Both teams to score
Yes1.89price falling, opened at 1.93
No1.92price rising, opened at 1.78
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +01.91
Away +01.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Vasco DA Gama are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Vitoria and Vasco DA Gama average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.8%Projected
  2. 1-113.4%Alternative
  3. 0-013.2%
  4. 0-111.9%
  5. 2-08.3%

Top five combined: 61.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVitoriaxG1.12
AwayVasco DA GamaxG0.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
15%
8.3%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
13%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
5.4%
6.1%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.6%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 40.2%59.8% No
Over 1.5 60.1%39.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 33.1%66.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 14.8%85.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Vitoria win and over 2.5 goals17.4%
Vitoria win and both teams score13.2%
Vasco DA Gama win and over 2.5 goals11.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals26.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Vitoria or draw70.7%
Vasco DA Gama or draw59.6%
Either team wins69.6%
Draw no bet: Vitoria58.0%
Draw no bet: Vasco DA Gama42.0%
Vitoria win to nil27.2%
Vasco DA Gama win to nil19.4%
Team goals
Vitoria to score67.4%
Vasco DA Gama to score59.6%
Vitoria over 1.5 goals30.8%
Vasco DA Gama over 1.5 goals23.0%
Vitoria clean sheet40.4%
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet32.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.08

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Team news

Expected formations

Vasco DA Gama: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama
Head to Head

Head to Head

Vasco DA Gama
1 - 0
Vitoria
August 27, 2026
Vitoria
1 - 0
Vasco DA Gama
July 16, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
4 - 3
Vitoria
October 5, 2025
Vitoria
2 - 1
Vasco DA Gama
May 10, 2025
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 27, 2026Vasco DA Gama1 - 0Vitoria
July 16, 2026Vitoria1 - 0Vasco DA Gama
October 5, 2025Vasco DA Gama4 - 3Vitoria
May 10, 2025Vitoria2 - 1Vasco DA Gama